We have a nine-game slate of NBA games scheduled for Wednesday night so let's get ready for some wagers and profitable parlays!
Last week, our two-leg parlay at +257 odds hit and we turned 15 bucks into over 50. The previous week, we netted over a grand on basketball and football. If you want sports betting advice and picks from real cash-winning experts, this is the place to be!
There are several intriguing matchups tonight, highlighted by a Western Conference clash between the fourth-seeded Utah Jazz and the sixth-seeded Denver Nuggets. Fans will be treated to a late-night matchup between the Portland Trail Blazers and the Los Angeles Lakers. The biggest mismatch is between the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Dallas Mavericks (12-point spread). The Sixers are also massive favorites with a current 10.5-point spread against a Washington Wizards team that will be without superstar Bradley Beal. With 18 teams suiting up tonight, let’s take a look at the top multi-leg NBA parlay of the night and our favorite same-game parlay. You may be surprised to see three road underdogs in our multi-leg parlay of the week! However, the Nuggets’ active roster is far superior to Utah’s due to all of the injuries sustained by Jazz players, so Denver may end up the favorite by the end of the day. That’s why it’s critical to lock in your bet before your sportsbook updates the lines. Now that we’re done with the house cleaning, let’s move on to the picks.
Please note that all odds and lines are current as of 11:30 AM EST from FanDuel Sportsbook on Wednesday, February 2.
Tonight’s NBA Schedule
Top Multi-Leg NBA Parlay of the Night
Leg 1: Orlando Magic at Indiana Pacers (-4)
Orlando has won three of its last four games. This includes two big upsets against Chicago (a 21-point victory) on Jan. 23 and Dallas (a slight two-point margin of victory) this past Sunday night. Both the Pacers and Magic have less than 20 wins this season.
Although the Pacers have eight more victories than the Magic this season, the Pacers have lost seven of their last 10 contests. Their downwards trend is directly correlated with recent injuries to the team’s biggest stars. Currently, the Pacers are without their three most talented players. Myles Turner, Domantas Sabonis, and Malcolm Brogdon are all inactive this week (and likely next week too). Sabonis was on the verge of returning from an ankle sprain but just tested positive for COVID-19 Monday. He has been placed in the league’s Health and Safety protocols.
In contrast, Orlando’s starting five and bench are healthy. With the exception of Jonathan Isaac, who will be sidelined until late February due to an ankle injury, Orlando’s squad has remained healthy over the last few weeks. Outside of Isaac, backup guards Michael Carter-Williams and Markelle Fultz have yet to suit up this season. Of the three sidelined players, only Isaac was expected to see significant minutes this season. Relatively speaking, Orlando is very healthy, especially given the global pandemic and Omnicron variant.
On paper, Orlando won’t have a better opportunity to defeat Indiana than they do tonight. The Pacers are missing their three most valuable players and can only rely on Caris Lavert to produce offense consistently. Youngster Isaiah Jackson has stepped up in the absence of Turner and Sabonis, but Orlando’s Wendell Carter Jr. and Mo Bamba should be able to take care of business in the paint. Plus, with Brogdon and T.J. McConnel sidelined, the Pacers lack a true starting point guard to go up against the talented Cole Anthony. Anthony has dominated in his sophomore campaign, averaging about 18 points, six boards, and six dimes per game. Indiana may struggle to contain Anthony, who is one of three members of the Magic to be selected for the All-Star Weekend’s Rising Stars competition. He will be joined by Franz Wagner and Jalen Suggs. Anthony will also compete in this year’s Slam Dunk Contest.
Considering all of the information we have at our fingertips, there is definitely some value to be had with an Orlando Magic team that Vegas expects to lose by 4.5 points on the road tonight against the injury-ravaged Indiana Pacers..
Pick: Orlando Magic ML (+140)
Leg 2: Portland Trail Blazers at Los Angeles Lakers (-3.5)
The Lakers have one of the most unpredictable and constantly changing starting lineups in the NBA. Between injuries that have sidelined Anthony Davis and LeBron James for significant time this season and all the other COVID-19 issues in the sports world, the Lakers have struggled to put all five starters on the floor in any given game. Los Angeles has employed 22 different starting fives in 51 games this season. LeBron and AD have been limited to 36 and 30 games respectively and Russel Westbrook is finally demonstrating that he is human and cannot produce a triple-double every other night.
Although Westbrook has solid counting stats this season (18.9 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 7.7 assists per game), the electric point guard was averaging 1.7 more points,1.8 more rebounds, and 1.8 more assists in one fewer minute per game at the very same point of the season last year with Washington. The superstar is quite clearly no longer in his prime. He’s still a good basketball player but he’s no longer considered a top-five or even a top-10 point guard in the Association.
Meanwhile, the Blazers just got sharpshooter C.J. McCollum back from a six-week absence due to a collapsed lung. Fortunately for Blazers fans, McCollum picked up right where he left off. He’s dropped 15+ points in each of his nine contests since returning to the hardwood and has produced 20+ points while shooting over 50 percent from the field in four consecutive games entering tonight’s clash with Los Angeles. Portland will continue to heavily rely on McCollum with Damian Lillard sidelined for the foreseeable future. Second-year guard, Anfernee Simons, is the player who has developed and proved the most during Portland’s injury-riddled season. Simons averaged 23.1 points, 6.7 assists, and a whopping 4.5 triples in the month of January. Considering the Blazers’ top two scoring options are guards, the team will benefit from the fact that the Lakers have the second-worst defense against opposing guards (in fantasy basketball). Los Angeles allows the seventh-most threes per game to opposing guards. Portland will attempt to exploit Westbrook’s mediocre perimeter defense and take a ton of shots from beyond the arc. It doesn’t hurt that Simons recently joined his two teammates as the only players in franchise history to knock down four threes in six straight contests.
Normal Powell has also enjoyed somewhat of a breakout season in his first campaign with the Blazers. Powell has started in Portland’s last four games and averaged 18.7 points, 5.7 rebounds, 2.8 threes, and 1.0 steals over that span. The biggest hurdle Portland may face in tonight’s contest could be the health of their trustworthy big man, Jusuf Nurkic. The Bosnian 6’11” center is averaging a double-double this season (14.7 points and 10.7 rebounds per game). Nurkic is coming off an ankle injury and is considered probable for tonight’s matchup against the Lakers. If for some reason Nurkic is ruled out, the odds will drastically change and your pick should change accordingly. That said, Nurkic should be able to play through the pain in a tough matchup against Anthony Davis (who is listed as probable on the Injury Report with a wrist injury of his own) In January, Nurkic was a dominant force with averages of 17.3 points, 12.2 rebounds, 3.2 assists, and 1.4 steals in 31.4 minutes per game.
Despite Damian Lillard’s underwhelming and declining performance to open the season before his abdomen injury forced him to miss all of January and probably most of February, McCollum’s six-week absence, Nurkic’s recent ankle sprain, and some serious injuries to role players such as Larry Nance Jr. (right knee inflammation) and Nassir Little (season-ending shoulder surgery), the Blazers are somehow still the No. 10 seed in the Western Conference. Despite the injury bug, the Blazers could have lost many more games if not for three-and-D specialist, Robert Covington. Ro-Co has been a beast on defense, ranking seventh in blocks, fourth in steals, and tied for second in total steals and blocks (stocks) over the last 30 days. His hustle stats have been critical to Portland’s survival in the new year.
The Blazers are coming off a nasty loss to the 14th-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder (15-34 record) and should come out of the gate with maximum energy after a day off yesterday. And even with all of their superstar power, the Los Angeles Lakers are a mediocre 24-27 and are just one spot ahead of Portland in the standings. And yet again, the Lakers won’t be at full strength. AD is probable to suit up at the Staples Center tonight but according to head coach Frank Vogel, LeBron is considered doubtful. Some have speculated that he may be sidelined for an additional week. Regardless, without LBJ, the Lakers are in serious trouble.
We are all aware of LeBron’s greatness. However, many people seem to think his numbers are declining at an alarming rate and that he’s no longer a dominating force in the NBA. That is simply not the case. These misconceptions exist partially because James finally missed the NBA Finals and his team was trounced by the Phoenix Suns in the very first round of the playoffs last year. Championships and titles matter, but they don’t tell the entire story by any stretch of the imagination. Yes, LeBron James is 38 years old and is no longer in his prime; At the same time, LBJ is averaging the second-most points per game (29.1) in his entire career. With LeBron sidelined, Los Angeles will have to rely on Malik Monk (starting in James’ place), Avery Bradley, Talen Horton-Tucker, Carmelo Anthony, and Trevor Ariza to step up for the all-time great who dropped 43 points in just 29 minutes in a win over these same Blazers on New Year's Eve. LeBron even converted 16-of-26 attempts from the field and nailed five three-pointers on 10 attempts (50%).
James has missed the last few games with a swollen knee and Los Angeles hasn’t fared very well in his absence. The franchise is 3-7 over their last 10 games, and on the season, they are just 7-14 against teams with a record over .500. The team is even worse without LeBron in the lineup with a 5-10 record in LBJ’s 15 total missed contests this season.
The Los Angeles Lakers have been on the receiving end of a ton of criticism recently and you can’t say that it has not been warranted. The Lakers have struggled immensely this season and it doesn’t seem like anyone or anything can fix the problem. After a reporter emphasized the Lakers’ mediocre 24-27 record, which is much worse than pundits predicted in the preseason, Russell Westbrook stated, “You get in the playoffs it’s 0-0.” Westbrook has made some boneheaded decisions both on and off the court over his career and he has been known to make head-scratching quotes to the press. This time, he’s right on the money. The Lakers are still slated to make the postseason and as long as the big three (LeBron, AD, and Westbrook) are healthy for the postseason run, Los Angeles can be a serious contender in the Western Conference even with a low seed and poor record. Despite the complaints about the coaching, player health, and execution, Vogel is absolutely right to manage LeBron’s load and prioritize his superstar’s health over regular-season appearances. That said, James is in no condition to suit up even if he wanted to after suffering a knee injury in a Jan. 25 victory over the Brooklyn Nets. Since he’s been sidelined yet again, Los Angeles was blown out by 28 points in Philadelphia last Thursday and was defeated by Trae Young and the Atlanta Hawks on Sunday.
Given LeBron’s absence, the Lakers’ poor performance as of late, Portland’s great shooting from beyond the arc, and the Blazers’ propensity to play up to the level of their opponents, Portland provides massive value for sports bettors as 3.5-point underdogs on the road tonight.
Pick: Portland Trail Blazers ML (+146)
Leg 3: Denver Nuggets at Utah Jazz (-2)
The Western Conference’s sixth-seeded Nuggets travels to Salt Lake City to take on the Utah Jazz. Both teams have above .500 records but rank in the bottom-10 of the league against the spread. Each of these teams only covers the spread 42% of the time. So rather than wagering on the spread, bettors should consider Denver’s moneyline. Avoid taking the minimal two-point spread as the Nuggets are a mere 12-16 (42.9% Cover) on the road against the spread this season. However, Denver is riding a hot streak as they were victorious in five consecutive games before losing to Minnesota last night.
The Nuggets are underdogs despite winning six of their previous eight games and having arguably the best player in the league in Nikola Jokic. Meanwhile, Utah is incredibly undermanned at the moment. It will be interesting to see Dan Snyder’s rotation given the number of injured players on Utah’s roster. This is also Denver’s final opportunity to get revenge as they were outplayed and defeated in all three of their previous meetings with the Jazz this season. However, Utah looked a lot different earlier in the season than they will appear tonight. The Jazz will be without the services of their top scorer, Donovan Mitchell (25.5 PPG), who is still being monitored for a concussion. One of the top centers in the NBA and the team anchor on defense who averages the fourth-most blocks per game in the NBA (2.3), Rudy Gobert, will also be sidelined due to a calf injury. The bad news doesn’t end there. In Utah's final game in January against the Timberwolves (a 20-point blowout loss), Joe Ingles went down with a significant injury. On Monday, an MRI revealed a torn MCL which requires season-ending surgery. Ingles was a pivotal piece of Utah’s rotation, evidenced by his 24.5 minutes per game.
So all in all, the Jazz are missing three crucial players including two All-Stars. And bench warmer Danuel House Jr. is still out of action, not that he makes much of a difference in the win-loss column. Still, lack of depth and conditioning could be an issue for Utah against a very talented Nuggets squad. It’s also important to note that Utah has been one of the worst defensive teams over the last six weeks, ranking in the bottom five in defensive rating. They have lost 11 of their last 13 games, are missing their best players, and have to go up against surging MVP candidate Nikola Jokic.
Hassan Whiteside is in line to make another start in Gobert’s absence. Whiteside had 12 rebounds and three blocks in Utah’s last game. He’s no match for Jokic but at least he’s a solid defensive presence. But without Mitchell and Ingles, Utah loses their most reliable three-point shooters. Mike Conley (still not 100% healthy after returning from an injury of his own) will still run the point and the most likely scenario is that Jordan Clarkson will move from the sixth man to starting shooting guard. Bojan Bogdanovic will serve as Utah’s primary deep-range shooter and Royce O’Neale will slot in at the other forward position. This leaves nobody of value on the bench so bettors should comfortably wager cash on the Nuggets tonight. Veteran Rudy Gay will see extended minutes and Eric Paschall should see an uptick in playing time off the Jazz bench. But do you really trust those guys to get the job done? Denver is rolling out the same lineup that they’ve been dominating with featuring Monte Morris, Will Barton, Jeff Green, Aaron Gordon, and Nikola Jokic.
Utah is looking to end a five-game losing streak tonight and would love to break out of their recent funk. They finished January with an abysmal 4-12 record. Something tells me that the losing streak won’t end tonight. I know this seems like a trap game since you would think Denver would be favored given Utah’s depleted roster. So lock this bet in before the line moves anymore. The spread has already decreased from two points to one point at certain sportsbooks. That said, if you hurry now, the Nuggets are +3 at BetMGM!
Pick: Denver Nuggets ML (+130)
Sign up here for FanDuel Sportsbook and place your NBA parlay today!. Right now, they're offering 56:1 Odds to new users on either team to win the Super Bowl. With this promo, a new user could turn just $5 into $280 by picking the right Super Bowl Champion.
Same-Game Parlay Options of the Night
Charlotte Hornets at Boston Celtics (-6)
Leg 1: Boston Celtics Alternative Spread -3.5 (-196)
Boston is one of those teams that gets a massive homecourt advantage. In 27 home games, Boston is 17-10 compared to their road record of 10-15. In the opening month of the season, Boston defeated Charlotte on the road in overtime by double digits but the Hornets got revenge in a close battle a few weeks ago. Surprisingly, the road team was victorious in both matchups. However, Boston was missing two key starters in Marcus Smart and Robert Williams III in their recent loss to Charlotte. Jayson Tatum missed all seven of his attempts from beyond the arc and shot 4-of-19 from the field. That game was an anomaly There’s simply no way that will happen again as Tatum is averaging 32 points per game over his last six contests, including an incredible 51-point effort against the Washington Wizards in which he nailed nine three-pointers on 14 attempts. Tatum won’t struggle from long range again. Charlotte also had Gordon Hayward active in their lone victory over Boston this season but the veteran hooper will be on the sidelines for tonight’s battle between the two Eastern Conference playoff contenders.
The Celtics are currently on a two-game winning streak and have been victorious in four of their last five contests, including an impressive 30-point blowout of the third-seeded Miami Heat. The Hornets are below .500 on the road and were defeated by a mediocre Los Angeles Clippers squad by 25 points on their home court on Sunday. Charlotte isn’t the same team without Hayward in the lineup as the guards are asked to do too much of the offensive production. The Celtics have a 25-25-2 record against the spread, so to get an extra 2.5 points, I’ll take the slightly worse odds to ensure this bet hits. And it will, my friends.
Leg 2: LaMelo Ball To Score 20+ Points (-136)
Although Ball is averaging slightly less than 20 points per game this season (19.7), he’s dropped 20+ in four consecutive outings. He scored 19 points in the game before that so he’s clearly gaining confidence and scoring at a higher rate. In each of three previous outings with Hayward out of the lineup, the second-year stud has attempted 16+ shots from the field in each game and 18 shots from long range over that span. He is still a great ball-handler and passer but he is Charlotte’s primary scorer with Hayward sidelined. Marcus Smart is a talented defender but Ball is too crafty and has too high a usage rate to not surpass 20 points.
Leg 3: Miles Bridges To Record 6+ Rebounds (-250)
Bridges is the Julius Randle of the 2021-22 season and will undoubtedly earn the NBA’s Most Improved Player Award. After shooting no worse than 50% from the field in seven straight contests, Bridges had nothing left in the tank in Sunday’s loss to the Clippers. However, his struggles stemmed from the three-point line (missed all six attempts), yet he still somehow managed to score 19 points, and more importantly (for this prop), he hauled in nine boards. Bridges has tallied 6+ rebounds in six of his last eight outings and with Hayward sidelined, he may be asked to do a bit more on both ends of the court. It also doesn’t hurt that the Celtics allow the eighth-most rebounds per game to opposing forwards.
On the season, Bridges is averaging 7.3 rebounds per game and in his two previous meetings with Boston, he’s averaged 8.5 boards per contest. This one is easy money!
Leg 4: Robert Williams III To Record 12+ Rebounds (+108)
This is our biggest longshot of this Same Game Parlay but I believe in the 2018 first-round pick out of Texas A&M. Williams has gradually improved over the course of the season and although he is averaging 9.5 rebounds per game in 41 outings this season, he’s been a high-rising rebound machine recently. He continues to eat into Al Horford’s minutes and over his last 10 games, he’s averaging 11.9 boards. He produced 12+ rebounds in five contests over that span.
In 27 minutes against the Sacramento Kings on Jan. 25, the big man hauled in a season-high 17 rebounds and added 13 points. This past Saturday against the Pelicans, the athletic center tallied 16 rebounds, matching his second-best total on the season. Williams is also one of the top offensive rebounders in the entire league (3.9 per game). In his one previous matchup against Charlotte, the fourth-year pro grabbed 16 boards in 36 minutes. He has proved to be the superior option in the frontcourt for Boston and should dominate Mason Plumlee and the rest of Charlotte’s big men in the battle for the boards in the paint.
FantasySP is developing betting tools to provide users with something nobody else in the industry can offer. Upgrade to an Edge+ account today and get 50% off your first year at just $99.99 for the year. After a year, the price is going to increase to $199. Lock in your special early-bird deal today!
In Game 5 of the NBA Finals, the Warriors defended the home floor to take a 3-2 lead in the finals over the Boston Celtics. Largely, this is because Boston was careless with the basketball. The Warriors tallied nine steals and forced 18 turnovers by the Celtics. In contrast, the Warriors only got the ball stolen twice and turned the ball over just six times Monday night. While Stephen Curry was guarded ferociously and was held to just 16 points on 7-of-22 shooting (and 0-9 from downtown), his teammates stepped up.
Andrew Wiggins had another huge double-double, scoring 26 points (12-23 FG) and hauling in 13 rebounds. Finally, if the Celtics hope to win in Game 6, they will need to stay awake in the fourth quarter. Over the last two games, Boston has fallen asleep at the end of the game while the Warriors managed to sneak away with two consecutive victories.
Let's take a look at some of tonight's best bets for this huge NBA Finals Game 6.
Please Note: All betting odds were correct today as of 2:00 pm EST from Caesars Sportsbook
Sign up here for Caesars Sportsbook and place your NBA bets today! Use Promo Code: FANTASYSP15 to get up to a $1,500 risk-free bet following registration! If you win, congrats! If you don’t, you’ll get that amount back as a Free Bet to use on your next wager!
Best Bets of the Night
Golden State Warriors at Boston Celtics -4 (GSW Leads 3-2)
NBA Finals Best Bet #1: Boston Celtics -4 (-110)
It’s difficult to envision the Boston Celtics collapsing in the fourth quarter in three consecutive games. The Celtics may briefly watch the tape from Game 5 but they are going to have to shake it off and move forward immediately. Boston’s carelessness with the basketball Monday night should produce a much-needed wake-up call that will allow the team to make smarter passes and take fewer risks on offense against a Golden State defense that has surged over the last two games.
While Steph will likely score more than 16 points in Game 6, Jaylen Brown must have a bounce-back performance after going 5-of-18 for 18 points in Game 5. Though the Celtics shot above 40% from the field on Monday night, they turned the ball over at an uncharacteristic rate, finishing the night with 18 turnovers. Some of those were unforced errors while the Warriors earned nine steals as well.
At home in Game 6, the Celtics will play better and bring this 2022 NBA Finals series to a blockbuster Game 7 at the Chase Center. For NBA fans wishing for a seven-game series in the 2022 Finals and bettors looking to cash in on Game 6, Boston will win by at least four points at home in a win-or-go-home scenario. Jayson Tatum has yet to play his best basketball this series with Andrew Wiggins playing lethal defense but tonight will be the night that he finally drops 30+ points. Although Steve Kerr seems to think his squad is ready to close out the series, he may have to think again given how well Boston has bounced back from losses this postseason.
Don’t forget that the Celtics were in a three-game to two-game deficit against the Miami Heat in the Eastern Conference Finals yet found a way to come out victorious. They may not be able to win two straight against Golden State but it’s tough to imagine the Warriors defeating the Celtics in three consecutive matchups. Boston wins by a few possessions: 110-104.
NBA Finals Best Bet #2: Over (O/U) 210 Total Points (-110)
Though only 204 points were scored between both teams in Game 5 (BOS 97 - 107 GSW), Game 6 will be a higher-scoring contest for multiple reasons. First, Jaylen Brown will have a bounce-back night. After being held to 18 points on 27.8% shooting from the field on Monday, Brown will almost certainly play more efficiently and score more in Game 6. Additionally, Boston had way fewer scoring opportunities due to their whopping 18 turnovers. Ima Udoke will make sure his starters take care of the ball in a game that can decide Boston’s fate. Marcus Smart and Al Horford have come up huge as role players but Tatum needs to really shift into an entirely new gear. Don’t be surprised if that happens tonight.
The story through Games 4 and 5 has been the same. Golden State has stepped it up on defense, managing to out-rebound the Celtics in both contests. Robert Williams III might have something to say about that tonight. In Game 6, the Celtics should be more cautious with the ball and therefore have more opportunities than they did over the last two contests. Meanwhile, the Warriors are always expected to drop at least 105+ points.
NBA Player Props
Golden State Warriors at Boston Celtics -4 (GSW Leads 3-2)
Prop #1: Andrew Wiggins To Record a Double-Double (+225)
Throughout these NBA Finals, Andrew Wiggins has been on an absolute tear. Just over the last two contests where he finished both with double-doubles, he’s recorded 29 rebounds and 43 points. He has adapted his style of play and is spending more time down low in the post to help the Warriors out on the glass. Wiggins is putting significant pressure on Robert Williams III, Al Horford, and Jayson Tatum to rebounds the ball more efficiently. Not only is Wiggins keeping his scoring numbers up, he’s drastically improved on the defensive end to record 49 rebounds (9.8 rebounds per game in the Finals) through the first five games of this series. Wiggins’ shift to focus on rebounding and keeping the pressure down low has worked brilliantly for the Warriors over the last two games, both of which they won. In Game 6, expect him to continue to do what has been working, giving him a great chance to produce a third consecutive double-double in the NBA Finals. Perhaps he can even win the NBA Finals MVP Award if he continues to play at this level. Wiggins has been the true x-factor for the Dubs in this series.
Prop #2: Jaylen Brown Over 24.5 Points (-110)
After a rough shooting night in Game 5 where Brown only converted on five of his 18 shots from the field, he should wake up and score 25+ points in Game 6 at TD Garden. While you may want to stick away from three-point shooting props involving brown right now, he’ll hit the over in points tonight at the TD Garden. Brown has only scored over 24 points in one of five games this series (27 points in Game 3) but the Celtics do much better when Brown and Tatum perform like the perennial All-Stars that they are.
Fantasy SP has worked diligently to bring you next-level sports betting analytics, prop betting tools, public betting splits, and so much more! Become an Edge+ member today before the price doubles!
In Game 4 of the 2022 NBA Finals, Stephen Curry and the Warriors executed exactly where they didn’t in Game 3 to tie up the series 2-2. Notably, Golden State dominated down low Friday night after being outrebounded and suffocated by the Celtics in Game 3. As a team, the Warriors recorded 16 offensive boards for a total of 55 rebounds for the night. For instance, Draymond Green struggled Wednesday night to finish the night with only four rebounds and three assists before fouling out in the fourth quarter.
In Game 4, Draymond dominated down low for eight rebounds, eight assists, and four steals without getting himself into foul trouble (only three PFs for Green in Game 4 after fouling out in Game 3).
Best Bets of the Night
Game: Boston Celtics at Golden State Warriors - 4 (-110)
Similar to Game 3, both teams shot the ball rather evenly. The Warriors finished the night with 44% shooting from the field, and 34.9% from downtown. The Celtics converted 40% of the field goal attempts and 39.5% of their shots from deep. One factor which helped Golden State keep up with the Celtics throughout the game was terrific rebounding. Andrew Wiggins stepped it up off the glass to produce a 17-point and 16-rebound double-double. What really caused the Celtics to lose in Game 3 was a complete offensive collapse in the fourth quarter.
With seven minutes remaining in the game, the Celtics had a 91-86 lead over Golden State. That means Boston was outscored 21-6 in the second half of the fourth quarter to lose Game 4 107-97. With Golden State back home, expect their offense to shoot better than they did on the road and secure a home victory in Game 5.
Bet: Golden State Warriors -4 (-110)
Throughout the 2022 NBA Playoffs, the Warriors shot 49.4% from the field and 40.7% from downtown in 11 games played at home. For their nine road games, the Warriors were less efficient on average averaging 47.2 FG% (2.2% less efficient from the field) and 34.9% (-5.8% less efficient from 3PT range). The numbers reveal clearly that for the 2022 NBA Playoffs, the Warriors have been more efficient scoring. With the prospect of taking a 3-2 lead over the Celtics, its likely that Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson have another big night in front of the home crowd.
Bet: Over (O/U) 212.5 Total Points (-110)
While only 204 points were scored in Game 4, expect Game 5 to be a much higher-scoring game. In addition to the Warriors shooting much better from the field, the team seems to have found some efficiency against the bigger Celtics down low. These two factors could push the Warriors to score 120+ points in Game 5. In turn, Jayson Tatum who scored 23 points (8-23 FG) will bounce back to have a 30+ point game. Both he and Steph are scoring big these NBA Finals.
While the defense was the main story of Games 3 and 4 at the TD Garden, scoring buckets will be the principal feature of Game 5 at the Chase Center. With him and Stephen Curry averaging more than 34 PPG through these finals, you can count on Game 5 in Golden State to be a high-scoring game.
NBA Player Props
Game: Boston Celtics at Golden State Warriors - 4 (-110)
Prop: Jayson Tatum, Over 26.5 Points
Jayson Tatum, like the rest of the Celtics, started hot but finished ice cold. If it wasn’t for the fourth quarter where Tatum shot the ball multiple times unsuccessfully. This negatively impacted his shooting numbers from Game 4 where he finished the night with 23 points (8-23 FG) converting only 34.9% of his shots taken. After a disappointing Friday night, Tatum will shoot more efficiently in Game 5. Since he still scored 23 points on an off-night, you can count on Tatum to score 30+ points in Game 5 even if the Warriors defeat the Celtics.
Prop: Andrew Wiggins, Over 6.5 Rebounds
One of the major adjustments made by the Warriors in Game 4 was boosting their presence off the glass. Andrew Wiggins recorded 16 of Golden State’s 55 rebounds Friday night.
Through the first four games of the NBA Finals, Wiggins has recorded a total of 34 rebounds. That means Wiggins is averaging 8.5 rebounds per game in the 2022 NBA Finals. Especially because the Warriors know how effective he was producing much-needed rebounds in Game 4, Wiggins will look to have a similar presence down-low in Game 5.
In Game 3, both teams shot almost equally well from the field and from downtown. However, Boston took more shots from the field and dominated off the glass to take Game 3 116-100. Boston’s defensive energy was on full display Wednesday night as they outrebounded and drew countless fouls from the Warriors. Boston’s defense was the story of Game 3. Will Klay Thompson and Stephen Curry overwhelm the Celtics in Game 4?
Let’s take a look at some of tonight’s best bets for Game 4 of the 2022 NBA Finals.
Best Bets of the Night
Game: Golden State Warriors at Boston Celtics Game 4 (BOS Leads 2-1)
In Game 3, both teams shot virtually as efficiently from the field. The Celtics converted 48.3% of their shots (43-89 FG) from the field and went 37.1% from downtown. Golden State finished the night with a 46.2 FG% (36-78 FG) as a team, converting 37.5% from beyond the arc. The main reason for the Celtics’ victory was fantastic defense. For instance, Robert Williams III who isn’t 100% healthy, played 26 minutes to produce 10 points, eight rebounds, and four blocks. The Celtics dominated the Warriors off the glass to record 47 rebounds as a team with 15 of them recorded on the offensive end. In contrast, the Warriors totaled 31 rebounds on the game and only had six offensive rebounds. In addition, the Warriors committed 23 personal fouls allowing the Celtics to go to the line 24 times (Celtics were 17-24 FT) and had 16 turnovers as a team. For the Warriors to bounce back in Game 4, they will need to be more aggressive down low and less sloppy on the floor.
Bet #1: Golden State Warriors, +4 (-110)
The Warriors shot the ball well in Game 3, but were simply overwhelmed by the Celtics defense and the energy at the TD Garden Wednesday night. Golden State recorded 39 combined turnovers (16) and personal fouls (23) which demonstrates how sloppy they were with the basketball. This gave Boston a possession advantage throughout the game, ultimately allowing the Celtics to take 11 more field goal attempts and finish the night with seven more made FGs than the Warriors. Offensive efficiency is not the issue for the Warriors. Rather, they will need to ramp it up on defense in Game 4 to make the game interesting. Draymond Green fouled out of the contest after being shut down all night. Green was held to just two points, four rebounds, three assists, and two turnovers in 35 minutes on the floor before getting a sixth personal foul in Game 3.
Bet #2: Over (O/U) 215 Total Points (-110)
Though the Warriors were held to 100 points of offense on Wednesday night, they shot the ball well. Golden State was limited as a team for FGAs as a result of Boston’s defense. In Game 4, Golden State will have an answer to put up more points on the board than they did in Game 3. In turn, the Celtics will keep things interesting. Expect this Game 4 to be a high-scoring contest. Both teams have been scoring big throughout these playoffs, and that doesn't seem to be changing right now during the Finals.
NBA Player Props
Game: Golden State Warriors at Boston Celtics Game 4 (BOS Leads 2-1)
Prop #1: Klay Thompson, Over 19.5 Points
Klay Thompson started the night shooting very well but cooled down towards the end. He went five for a whopping 13 attempts from downtown Wednesday night. He finished the night 7-of-17 from the field for 25 points. This comes after a terrible Game 2 performance where Klay went 4-of-19 from the field and only one-of-eight from beyond-the-arc. Tonight, Klay will shoot better tonight after an average Game 3 performance and bad Games 1 and 2.
Prop #2: Jaylen Brown, Over 2.5 Threes
Jaylen Brown has been knocking his shots from downtown as of late. In the last two games, he’s recorded at least three threes. He’s gone 7-of-17 (41.1%) from downtown through Games 2 and 3 combined. In the second of two home games at the TD Garden, it’s likely that Brown knocks down at least three buckets from beyond-the-arc tonight in Game 4.