Jayson Tatum, Boston Celtics

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Tonight, the NBA has a six-game slate featuring the battle of New York City when the Brooklyn Nets take on the New York Knicks at Madison Square Garden.

The Bulls will be looking to defend their home floor against the Celtics after losing their last two home games in Chicago. Let's dive into the best bets and props for tonight's slate of NBA games.

Please Note: All odds are listed from FanDuel Sportsbook at 3:30 PM EST. Lines are subject to change.

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Best Bets of the Night

Game 1: Brooklyn Nets at New York Knicks +5

The only battle left for the Knicks is a battle for dignity. This season, the New York Knicks have been one of the biggest disappointments in the league (behind the Lakers). When the Nets play the Knicks, it’s a battle for pride and representation of one of the greatest cities in the world. The Knicks have nothing left to play for but this is a must-win game for the Nets. Despite how bad the Knicks have played this season, they packed on some late-season wins in a failed attempt to capture the 10th seed. Knicks fans will pack Madison Square Garden tonight and the Knicks will feast off of the energy in an attempt to cover the spread (despite a sidelined Julius Randle). To me, this suggests that it will be a competitive game. Brooklyn is the ninth-highest scoring team in the league (112.6 PPG) and the Knicks have the grit and physicality to match them. The Nets have won six straight against the Knicks, including a game earlier this year in which they erased a 26-point deficit. That said, all the games have been incredibly close. With Seth Curry listed as a game-time decision but unlikely to suit up, the Knicks will try to take advantage of Brooklyn's lack of depth. Last year, the Knicks were one of the best defensive teams in the NBA and they have recently improved in that category after a dismal start to the season. I expect the Nets to score 100-105 points tonight but I think the Knicks will manage to keep it close as they often do against their Atlantic division rival. Both teams will be competing in a fierce rivalry which will push the teams to defend more ferociously tonight. The Nets also might have a tough time scoring 110+ points at Madison Square Garden. For that reason, I don't believe the two squads will produce a total of 228.5 combined points.

The Pick: Under 228.5 Total Points

Game 2: Boston Celtics at Chicago Bulls +7

Chicago lost last night when I thought they could defend the home floor against the Bucks. The opposite took place. Chicago has one more chance to defend the home floor this week against the Boston Celtics tonight. Toronto won last night, giving them the fifth seed over the Bulls. With two games left, there remains a slight chance that the Bulls could retake the fifth seed. There is no way for them to do this without a win tonight. DeMar DeRozan has been playing out of his mind (40 points against the Bucks yesterday, 26 points against the Heat on April 2, and 50 points against the Clippers on March 31) but Zach LaVine missed yesterday's matchup and Nikola Vucevic only tallied seven points and six rebounds against Milwaukee last night. After two straight losses at home, tonight is the night the Bulls win. Since the Chicago Bulls moneyline failed miserably last night, let’s play it safe and take the Bulls to cover the spread against the Celtics. At the very least, they have to compete and keep it within seven. Regardless of the spread (which I think Chicago will cover tonight), if the Bulls lose, they will be entering the playoffs with a much bleaker outlook than the team did when they held the second seed in the East in January. Nonetheless, it is the Bulls' first playoff berth in the last five seasons.

The Pick: Chicago Bulls +7

Game 3: Phoenix Suns at Los Angeles Clippers -2.5

Phoenix is coming off of a late game last night against the Los Angeles Lakers. While they should beat the Clippers, I think the Suns may be a little gassed in their second game in as many days at the Crypto Center. Obviously, the Suns beat the atrocious Lakers but they very well could struggle to some some degree with fatigue tonight. The Suns are so lethal with Devin Booker at the moment, who’s averaged 33.6 PPG over his last 10 games. Although the Suns have the first seed in the West and are eight games ahead of the second-seeded Memphis Grizzlies, Phoenix is using these meaningless end-of-season games to play hard basketball. Their starters are playing 30+ minutes per contest and using these last regular-season games as an opportunity to practice. Even if the Suns were to play their bench tonight against Paul George and the Clippers, they would still have a good chance to come out on top. Since Devin Booker, Deandre Ayton, and Chris Paul are playing consistently and are expected to suit up tonight, I see them as being the clear favorites tonight in Los Angeles, despite the potential fatigue and the possibility of complacency as a result of having the first seed in the West secured.

The Pick: Phoenix Suns ML +118

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Player Props

Game: Boston Celtics at Chicago Bulls

Prop #1: Al Horford, Over 9.5 Points

Horford has some back issues but is probable to play tonight. Still, it's important to monitor his status before placing your wager. Horford has seen a slight uptick in minutes late in the season because of Robert Williams III’s likely season-ending injury. Along with Daniel Theis, Horford is truly the team’s best big. He’s averaging 10 PPG this season but is coming off of a 17-point game against the Pacers in which he shot seven-of-eight from the field, followed by a 10-point (4-9 FG) performance against the Wizards. His numbers over the last 10 games haven’t been too impressive, but Horford has a much better chance of scoring in double-figures on any night than he did in March when Williams was playing significant minutes. Tonight, Nikola Vucevic will have difficulties guarding Horford from downtown and remaining in the paint to protect the rim.

Prop #2: Jayson Tatum, Over 2.5 Three-Pointers Made

Tatum joined Horford on the injury report with a knee injury but is also probable to suit up on the frontend of back-to-back outings for Boston as they play the Milwaukee Bucks tomorrow. Tatum is out there all night long, and much of his scoring comes from downtown. Over his last nine games, he’s knocked down at least three three-pointers seven times, and at least five three-pointers five times. However, Tatum has gone 4-of-19 from beyond the arc over his last three games, which explains why his O/U has dropped down to 2.5. Tonight, Tatum will regain his shooting stroke and knock down at least three shots from beyond the arc. He's got the size advantage over DeRozan, who is likely to be tasked with guarding his fellow All-Star.

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Klay Thompson, Golden State Warriors
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After three consecutive victories, the Golden State Warriors conceded Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals to the Dallas Mavericks. In Game 5, the Warriors will look to close out Luka Doncic and the Mavs in front of the home crowd. As a team, the Warriors were efficient from the field, converting 48.8% of their shots taken. One of the main reasons Golden State lost was a result of poor free-throw shooting. The Warriors missed nine of their 27 free throws on Tuesday night (65.4 FT%). In comparison, the Mavericks were full-throttle in Game 4 facing elimination. Dallas’ Reggie Bullock (18 PTS) and Dorian Finney Smith (23 PTS) combined for 42 points, adding to Luka’s 30.

Ultimately, no team has ever come back from a 3-0 lead in the playoffs, meaning that the Warriors will almost certainly be heading back to the NBA Finals. Let’s take a look at what the best bets are for tonight’s Game 5.

Please note that all odds and lines are from FanDuel Sportsbook and were accurate at 2:00 PM EST. Be sure to check for line movement or odd changes.

Best Bets of the Night

Game: Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors -6.5 (GSW Leads 3-1)

Bet #1: Dallas Mavericks, +6.5 (-110)

We like Dallas to keep it close. Perhaps Dallas has a 10-point lead going into the third quarter which the Warriors could then overtake in the second half. Regardless of the scenario, the Mavericks won against a Warriors team that still put up 109 points in Game 4 on close to 50% shooting from the field. Dallas shot above 50% from the field in Game 4 and took many shots to get there just like they did in Game 7 of the Western Conference Semis against the Phoenix Suns. Even Jalen Brunson said in the post-game interview with the guys from Inside the NBA that his team needs to "take it one game at a time (...) like four Game 7s."

While the Warriors are in it to win it tonight, the Mavericks seem to perform best when facing elimination this 2022 postseason. While they might lose tonight, the Mavericks seem to play well under pressure. As a result, take them +7 tonight as the Warriors will have a bigger challenge on their hands than they anticipate.

Bet #2: Over 215.5 Total Points (-110)

In two of the series’ four games, both teams combined for at least 220 points. In Game 2, 243 points were scored while in Game 4, there were 228 points tallied. The Mavericks shoot more when facing elimination. This has been a trend we have seen throughout the postseason. In Game 7 of the Western Conference Semis, the Mavericks scored 123 points while in Game 4 against the Warriors on Tuesday, Dallas scored 119 points. Not much more needs to be said about the Warriors’ high-power offense that will likely outscore Dallas regardless of how many points they get on the board.

NBA Player Props of the Night

Game: Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors -6.5 (GSW Leads 3-1)

Prop #1: Dorian Finney-Smith Over 11.5 Points

Dorian Finney-Smith erupted for 23 points in Game 4 to help the Mavericks rally past the Warriors. Throughout the 2022 playoffs, he’s averaged 11.6 PPG shooting 46.5% from the field. He’s also seeing 38.2 minutes per contest this postseason. Expect Finney-Smith to score at least 12 points tonight after his 23-points in Game 4.

Prop #2: Klay Thompson Over 18.5 Points

Klay Thompson was held to 12 points scored in Game 4. Despite going 5-of-10 from the field, Klay was limited by Dallas on defense in 28 minutes on the floor on Tuesday night. He should definitely be taking more shots tonight and perform better overall being back home for a Game 5. Thompson should easily hit at least 20+ points tonight, and take a handful more shots from the field in this contest than in Tuesday’s.

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Stephen Curry, Golden State Warriors

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In Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals, Bam Adebayo's 31-point and 10-rebound double-double led the Miami Heat to a 109-103 victory over the Celtics on the road. That was followed by a dominant second-half performance by Stephen Curry and Andrew Wiggins who led the Warriors to a 3-0 lead in the Western Conference Finals.

Tonight, we'll get the first of these two matchups. Boston will look to come back in their second home game against a Heat team that is clearly not at 100% healthy. Tyler Herro has been ruled out for Game 4 while Kyle Lowry remains questionable. Here are some of the best bets for tonight's and tomorrow's big Game 4s.

Please note that all odds and lines are from FanDuel Sportsbook and were accurate at 3:30 PM EST. Be sure to check for line movement or odd changes.

ECF Game 4: Miami Heat at Boston Celtics -7 (MIA Leads 2-1)

In Game 4, the Celtics rallied back from double-digits to make things interesting in the fourth quarter. However, Boston conceded Game 3 to the Miami Heat 109-103. On Sunday, Bam Adebayo was getting everything he wanted down low. He finished with 31 points, 10 boards, six assists, four steals, and one block. Ime Udoka will need to boost the presence of his big men down low, perhaps by extending Daniel Theis’ minutes or having him share the floor more with Al Horford. The major reason for which the Heat are considered the seven-point underdogs for tonight’s game is injuries. Tyler Herro has already been ruled out for Game 4, and the Heat have four or five other players in their lineup currently listed as questionable. This includes Max Struss, Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, and P.J. Tucker. Butler is dealing with knee inflammation which sidelined him for the second half of Game 3.

Even if all of the players in the Heat’s rotation are good to go tonight (outside of Herro), Boston has not lost back-to-back home games since late October. Plus, Jaylen Brown is shooting much better than he did earlier in the postseason. In fact, he’s elevated his shooting to 50% from the field through the 2021-22 playoffs through 14 games played. Expect Boston to bounce back big in Game 4, with multiple players on the Miami Heat not at full strength.

The Pick: Boston Celtics -7 (-110)

WCF Game 4: Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks -1 (GSW Leads 3-0)

Well, it’s looking like the Golden State Warriors are returning to the NBA Finals. With the emergence of Jordan Poole late this season and into the postseason, Andrew Wiggins’ First-Team All-Star season, and Klay Thompson’s return to basketball, Golden State has been simply phenomenal. Golden State is simply that good this year, with anyone on the team capable of stepping up. Stephen Curry erupted in Game 3, while it was Andrew Wiggins that caught fire in the second half of Game 4. Any given night, the Warriors have one or two guys who they can count on for scoring approximately 25+ points. Considering the Mavericks' struggles this round, particularly behind the three-point line, bettors should go with the Warriors as the slight underdog. Teams get swept sometimes. Just ask the Brooklyn Nets. The Warriors will bring out the brooms and sweep the Mavericks as they punch their ticket to the NBA Finals Tuesday night.

The Pick: Golden State Warriors ML -104

NBA Player Props

Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks -1 (GSW Leads 3-0)

Prop #1: Stephen Curry, Over 27.5 Points

Stephen Curry has scored 31 points and 32 points over the last two games. He’s done so by converting at least 50% from the field in each contest. It makes sense that he would score at least 28 points in a series-clinching victory tomorrow night. Curry is averaging 27.1 PPG on 45.9% this postseason but has certainly put up more points and done so more efficiently over the last few games.

Prop #2: Luka Doncic, Over 3.5 Threes

Luka has drained nine three-pointers over the last two games. He’s knocked down at least four threes in three of his last four contests. Facing elimination and hoping to not let down the home crowd in back-to-back home playoff games, Doncic will convert at least four baskets from downtown in Game 4.

Tyler Herro (Left), Bam Adebayo (Right), Miami Heat

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Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, and the Miami Heat held their own against the Celtics in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Likewise, Andrew Wiggins and Stephen Curry led the Warriors to a 112-87 blowout over Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks. Tonight, the Celtics play their second game on the road against the Heat. On Friday night, the Mavericks will look to bounce back after shooting horrifically in Game 1.

Let’s take a look at the best bets for the two NBA Conference Final Game 2 matchups set for 8:30 PM EST. tonight and 9:00 PM EST. tomorrow night.

Please note that all odds and lines are from FanDuel Sportsbook and were accurate at 4:30 PM EST. Be sure to check for line movement or odd changes.

Best Bets of the Night

Game: Boston Celtics at Miami Heat -2 (MIA Leads 1-0)

After a nail-biting series with the Milwaukee Bucks that the Celtics won in grandiose fashion, Boston conceded Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals to the Miami Heat. Tonight, they play Game 2 of the series at the FTX Arena and hope to bounce back from Tuesday’s 11-point loss. One of the principal reasons for their defeat in Game 1 was the absence of Marcus Smart (foot sprain) and Al Horford (health & safety protocols). It remained a relatively close game until the third quarter in which the Celtics were outscored 14-3 to begin the second half. Derrick White filled in for Marcus Smart and was terribly inefficient from the field. He scored three points (1-4 FG) and had four assists in 29 minutes filling in for the Defensive Player of the Year. In contrast, Max Struss and Gabe Vincent did a terrific job of filling in for Kyle Lowry, combining for 28 points on 9-of-19 shooting. In addition, Tyler Herro had a good night with a pivotal 18 points (7-15 FG) off the bench. Fortunately for the Celtics, both Smart and Horford are expected to return tonight.

Head Coach Ime Udoka indicated to reporters today that Smart was probable to play this evening. Horford was cleared of health and safety protocols today making him available for tonight’s contest. For those of you who have watched the Celtics this postseason, Horford and Smart have upped their play and have been absolutely integral to the team’s success. Tonight, let’s take the Boston Celtics to take a game on the road in the same fashion that they took two road games from the Bucks in the last series.

The Pick: Boston Celtics ML +108

Tonight's Best NBA Player Props

Game: Boston Celtics at Miami Heat -2 (MIA Leads 1-0)

Prop#1: Gabe Vincent Over 9.5 Points
In Game 1 without Kyle Lowry, Gabe Vincent scored 17 points in 34 minutes on 50% shooting from the field. As Kyle Lowry is out again for Game 2 tonight, expect Vincent to score at least 10 points. Vincent has performed admirably while filling in for the veteran. Even when Lowry returns, it's quite possible that Erik Spoelstra will give some of Lowry's minutes to Vincent.
Prop#2: Al Horford Over 9.5 Points
After five straight double-digit scoring performances, Al Horford scored eight points or fewer in the last three games of the Eastern Conference Semifinals against the Bucks. He missed Game 1 of the Celtics' series against the Miami Heat after entering Health & Safety protocols. Since he was only out for one game, he shouldn't face any minute restrictions tonight. Horford should score at least 10 points in 30+ minutes on the floor.

Tomorrow Night's Best NBA Bet

Game: Dallas Mavericks at Golden State -6 (GSW Leads 1-0)

Dallas was annihilated by Golden State in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. This comes after the Mavs blew out the Phoenix Suns on the road in impressive fashion, punching their ticket to the next round of the playoffs for a series against the Warriors. Golden State shot an impressive 56.1% from the field in the opening game and finished with 112 points. Just as important as the offensive production, Golden State clamped down on defense. The Warriors contained Luka Doncic, who converted just six of his 18 field goals on his way to 20 points. Andrew Wiggins did an excellent job guarding the young playmaker. Luka's teammates didn't help out much either as the Mavericks shot 36% from the field in Game 1, and 22.9% from downtown (11-48 3PT FG) for just 87 points on the night.

While I think the Warriors will win again on Friday night, expect the Mavericks to keep things more interesting after such an abysmal night shooting from the field. Dallas will make the adjustments needed to make this a competitive Game 2 in the Bay area.

The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +6 (-110)

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