From left to right: Alvin Kamara, Gal Gadot as Wonder Woman, Baker Mayfield
Getty Images, Warner Bros. Pictures, Cleveland Browns
For many of you, your championship week turned out like Wonder Woman 1984.
You were so hyped about enjoying it only to be left confused and disappointed as to what you were watching for a few hours this weekend.
While Diana's latest adventure flopped in the forum of popular opinion, some of your fantasy studs might have carried you to the pandemic peak of your league.
Here are biggest booms and busts of Week 16:
Booms
Alvin Kamara RB New Orleans Saints
The bedazzled-grilled back went full Drake, running in the six—six rushing touchdowns, that is. Kamara gave New Orleans one hell of a gift on Christmas day, gaining 172 total yards while finding pay dirt half a dozen times: the first time that has been accomplished since Gale Sayers did it in 1965.
Alvin Kamara was in a giving mood on Christmas 😄 @ESPNNFL https://t.co/6NPpiNyKQh— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) 1608994380.0
If you have Kamara for a Week 17 final, you're looking at a tasty matchup with the Carolina Panthers, but he could be subbed out to save his legs for the playoffs.
Davante Adams WR Green Bay Packers
What more is there to say about Davante Adams? After an 11-reception, 142-yard and three-touchdown performance, he finds himself at the top of the fantasy wide receiver food chain with 341.80 points in PPR leagues.
👑 11 Rec 👑 142 Rec Yds 👑 3 TDs Davante Adams is among WR royalty. https://t.co/n3o3tW59Op— SportsCenter (@SportsCenter) 1609128969.0
Next on the dance card for the Packers are the rival Bears and with a first-round bye far from guaranteed, Adams could be leaned on one more week to secure it.
Stefon Diggs WR Buffalo Bills
Diggs treated the Stephon Gilmore-less Patriots like Sony punishing CDPR for releasing Cyberpunk 2077 unfinished. The league's most productive wideout in terms of catches and yards finished with 9 receptions, 145 yards and three scores.
This Josh Allen-Stefon Diggs moment before Monday Night Football is too much 😂 @ESPNNFL https://t.co/9BBkWx2dks— ESPN (@ESPN) 1609200849.0
With a No. 2 seed on the line against the Miami Dolphins next week, Diggs will probably be plying his trade at full speed to end the season.
Myles Gaskin RB Miami Dolphins
Talk about a return. After spending two weeks on the COVID reserve list, the Miami Dolphins' unheralded running back continued his quiet, but productive, season, gaining 169 total yards and two receiving touchdowns.
After pulling off a miracle in Las Vegas, the Dolphins face off against the Buffalo Bills in Week 17. With a playoff spot potentially on the line, they'll need every yard and every score he can provide.
Busts
Baker Mayfield QB Cleveland Browns
Against the lowly Jets, Baker Mayfield showed why people still have doubts he can carry the franchise, fumbling the ball twice and being held without a touchdown. To be fair, he was without four of his best receivers, but eight points against the third-worst passing defense heading into Week 16 is a tough sell.
QB @bakermayfield meets with the media live: https://t.co/S6F6ahfGhV— Cleveland Browns (@Cleveland Browns) 1609106495.0
With the Pittsburgh Steelers next on the schedule, Mayfield may have an even more difficult time to end the season.
Brandon Aiyuk WR San Francisco 49ers
Game script is a gamble for wide receivers and Brandon Aiyuk managers came up with snake eyes against Arizona on Saturday. With Jeff Wilson Jr. dominating the Cardinals on the ground and George Kittle drawing targets in his first game back from a foot injury, the rookie wideout was the odd man out, only getting two touches for 31 yards.
After being diagnosed with an injured ankle after the game, Aiyuk's productive first year is over, finishing with 60 receptions, 748 yards and seven total touchdowns.
Le'Veon Bell RB Kansas City Chiefs
It was supposed to be Le'Veon Bell's week with Clyde Edwards-Helaire out with multiple ailments, but the former bell-cow back couldn't turn back the clock as Kansas City's feature back, only gaining 39 total yards on eight touches.
Still, with the Chiefs securing a first-round bye, Bell may be leaned on if the team decides to rest its more critical offensive players.
Josh Jacobs RB Las Vegas Raiders
Jacobs managers were a victim of circumstance on Sunday, watching Jacobs purposefully go down before the end zone a few times in the final drive in order to bleed more time off of the clock. Of course, that effort was pointless as the Dolphins went into field goal range in less than 19 seconds to win against the Raiders and people who started the running back were left with 6.9 touchdown-less points and a whole lot of disappointment.
Josh Jacobs managers when Booker is on the field https://t.co/MRjpvTG09W— PFF Fantasy Football (@PFF Fantasy Football) 1609039221.0
The Raiders are already out of the playoff picture but can at least end their season on a high note against the Broncos, who have been vulnerable against the run lately.
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Stephen Curry, Golden State Warriors
Tom Pennington, Getty Images
In Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals, Bam Adebayo's 31-point and 10-rebound double-double led the Miami Heat to a 109-103 victory over the Celtics on the road. That was followed by a dominant second-half performance by Stephen Curry and Andrew Wiggins who led the Warriors to a 3-0 lead in the Western Conference Finals.
Tonight, we'll get the first of these two matchups. Boston will look to come back in their second home game against a Heat team that is clearly not at 100% healthy. Tyler Herro has been ruled out for Game 4 while Kyle Lowry remains questionable. Here are some of the best bets for tonight's and tomorrow's big Game 4s.
Please note that all odds and lines are from FanDuel Sportsbook and were accurate at 3:30 PM EST. Be sure to check for line movement or odd changes.
ECF Game 4: Miami Heat at Boston Celtics -7 (MIA Leads 2-1)
In Game 4, the Celtics rallied back from double-digits to make things interesting in the fourth quarter. However, Boston conceded Game 3 to the Miami Heat 109-103. On Sunday, Bam Adebayo was getting everything he wanted down low. He finished with 31 points, 10 boards, six assists, four steals, and one block. Ime Udoka will need to boost the presence of his big men down low, perhaps by extending Daniel Theis’ minutes or having him share the floor more with Al Horford. The major reason for which the Heat are considered the seven-point underdogs for tonight’s game is injuries. Tyler Herro has already been ruled out for Game 4, and the Heat have four or five other players in their lineup currently listed as questionable. This includes Max Struss, Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, and P.J. Tucker. Butler is dealing with knee inflammation which sidelined him for the second half of Game 3.
Even if all of the players in the Heat’s rotation are good to go tonight (outside of Herro), Boston has not lost back-to-back home games since late October. Plus, Jaylen Brown is shooting much better than he did earlier in the postseason. In fact, he’s elevated his shooting to 50% from the field through the 2021-22 playoffs through 14 games played. Expect Boston to bounce back big in Game 4, with multiple players on the Miami Heat not at full strength.
The Pick: Boston Celtics -7 (-110)
WCF Game 4: Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks -1 (GSW Leads 3-0)
Well, it’s looking like the Golden State Warriors are returning to the NBA Finals. With the emergence of Jordan Poole late this season and into the postseason, Andrew Wiggins’ First-Team All-Star season, and Klay Thompson’s return to basketball, Golden State has been simply phenomenal. Golden State is simply that good this year, with anyone on the team capable of stepping up. Stephen Curry erupted in Game 3, while it was Andrew Wiggins that caught fire in the second half of Game 4. Any given night, the Warriors have one or two guys who they can count on for scoring approximately 25+ points. Considering the Mavericks' struggles this round, particularly behind the three-point line, bettors should go with the Warriors as the slight underdog. Teams get swept sometimes. Just ask the Brooklyn Nets. The Warriors will bring out the brooms and sweep the Mavericks as they punch their ticket to the NBA Finals Tuesday night.
The Pick: Golden State Warriors ML -104
NBA Player Props
Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks -1 (GSW Leads 3-0)
Prop #1: Stephen Curry, Over 27.5 Points
Stephen Curry has scored 31 points and 32 points over the last two games. He’s done so by converting at least 50% from the field in each contest. It makes sense that he would score at least 28 points in a series-clinching victory tomorrow night. Curry is averaging 27.1 PPG on 45.9% this postseason but has certainly put up more points and done so more efficiently over the last few games.
Prop #2: Luka Doncic, Over 3.5 Threes
Luka has drained nine three-pointers over the last two games. He’s knocked down at least four threes in three of his last four contests. Facing elimination and hoping to not let down the home crowd in back-to-back home playoff games, Doncic will convert at least four baskets from downtown in Game 4.
Tyler Herro (Left), Bam Adebayo (Right), Miami Heat
Getty Images
Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, and the Miami Heat held their own against the Celtics in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Likewise, Andrew Wiggins and Stephen Curry led the Warriors to a 112-87 blowout over Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks. Tonight, the Celtics play their second game on the road against the Heat. On Friday night, the Mavericks will look to bounce back after shooting horrifically in Game 1.
Let’s take a look at the best bets for the two NBA Conference Final Game 2 matchups set for 8:30 PM EST. tonight and 9:00 PM EST. tomorrow night.
Please note that all odds and lines are from FanDuel Sportsbook and were accurate at 4:30 PM EST. Be sure to check for line movement or odd changes.
Best Bets of the Night
Game: Boston Celtics at Miami Heat -2 (MIA Leads 1-0)
After a nail-biting series with the Milwaukee Bucks that the Celtics won in grandiose fashion, Boston conceded Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals to the Miami Heat. Tonight, they play Game 2 of the series at the FTX Arena and hope to bounce back from Tuesday’s 11-point loss. One of the principal reasons for their defeat in Game 1 was the absence of Marcus Smart (foot sprain) and Al Horford (health & safety protocols). It remained a relatively close game until the third quarter in which the Celtics were outscored 14-3 to begin the second half. Derrick White filled in for Marcus Smart and was terribly inefficient from the field. He scored three points (1-4 FG) and had four assists in 29 minutes filling in for the Defensive Player of the Year. In contrast, Max Struss and Gabe Vincent did a terrific job of filling in for Kyle Lowry, combining for 28 points on 9-of-19 shooting. In addition, Tyler Herro had a good night with a pivotal 18 points (7-15 FG) off the bench. Fortunately for the Celtics, both Smart and Horford are expected to return tonight.
Head Coach Ime Udoka indicated to reporters today that Smart was probable to play this evening. Horford was cleared of health and safety protocols today making him available for tonight’s contest. For those of you who have watched the Celtics this postseason, Horford and Smart have upped their play and have been absolutely integral to the team’s success. Tonight, let’s take the Boston Celtics to take a game on the road in the same fashion that they took two road games from the Bucks in the last series.
The Pick: Boston Celtics ML +108
Tonight's Best NBA Player Props
Game: Boston Celtics at Miami Heat -2 (MIA Leads 1-0)
Prop#1: Gabe Vincent Over 9.5 Points
In Game 1 without Kyle Lowry, Gabe Vincent scored 17 points in 34 minutes on 50% shooting from the field. As Kyle Lowry is out again for Game 2 tonight, expect Vincent to score at least 10 points. Vincent has performed admirably while filling in for the veteran. Even when Lowry returns, it's quite possible that Erik Spoelstra will give some of Lowry's minutes to Vincent.
Prop#2: Al Horford Over 9.5 Points
After five straight double-digit scoring performances, Al Horford scored eight points or fewer in the last three games of the Eastern Conference Semifinals against the Bucks. He missed Game 1 of the Celtics' series against the Miami Heat after entering Health & Safety protocols. Since he was only out for one game, he shouldn't face any minute restrictions tonight. Horford should score at least 10 points in 30+ minutes on the floor.
Tomorrow Night's Best NBA Bet
Game: Dallas Mavericks at Golden State -6 (GSW Leads 1-0)
Dallas was annihilated by Golden State in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. This comes after the Mavs blew out the Phoenix Suns on the road in impressive fashion, punching their ticket to the next round of the playoffs for a series against the Warriors. Golden State shot an impressive 56.1% from the field in the opening game and finished with 112 points. Just as important as the offensive production, Golden State clamped down on defense. The Warriors contained Luka Doncic, who converted just six of his 18 field goals on his way to 20 points. Andrew Wiggins did an excellent job guarding the young playmaker. Luka's teammates didn't help out much either as the Mavericks shot 36% from the field in Game 1, and 22.9% from downtown (11-48 3PT FG) for just 87 points on the night.
While I think the Warriors will win again on Friday night, expect the Mavericks to keep things more interesting after such an abysmal night shooting from the field. Dallas will make the adjustments needed to make this a competitive Game 2 in the Bay area.
The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +6 (-110)
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Klay Thompson, Golden State Warriors
Ezra Shaw/Getty Images
Klay Thompson is coming off one of his signature Game 6 performances. Thompson dropped his second-highest point total of the postseason, punching Golden State's ticket to the Western Conference Finals after defeating the Memphis Grizzlies in six games. In the elimination game, Thompson led the team with 30 points (11-22 from the field and 8-14 from beyond the arc), eight boards, two assists, and three blocks. Considering the multitude of injuries he has fought back from and the adversity he has faced, it's quite amazing that the five-time All-Star has converted at least 50% of his three-point shots in three of his last four outings. He seems to be in great form entering this pivotal series with the Mavericks.
Dallas stunned the top-seeded Phoenix Suns and reigning Western Conference champs on the road in Game 7, 123-90, and earned a trip to the Western Conference Finals. Let's see if Thompson can remain scorching hot as Stephen Curry and the Dubs host Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals tonight. Now, let's take a look at some of the best bets and player props to consider for tonight’s big matchup!
Please note that all odds and lines are from FanDuel Sportsbook and were accurate at 3:30 PM EST. Be sure to check for line movement or odd changes.
Best Bets of the Night
Bet #1: Golden State Warriors -5 (-110)
Following a tough loss in Game 5 to the Grizzlies despite Ja Morant’s absence from the lineup, the Warriors bounced back and closed the series at home in Game 6. They take on the Dallas Mavericks, who’ve been absolutely unbelievable on defense. Changes made to the Mavs’ rotation by Jason Kidd worked flawlessly against Chris Paul, Devin Booker, and the Suns in the previous round. One surprise for Dallas this postseason has been former New York Knicks lottery pick, Frank Ntilikina. He's a player who has stepped up immensely this postseason, especially on defense. Throughout the series, Ntilikina held Chris Paul and Devin Booker to a combined 3-of-40 shooting from the field when he guarded them.
It will be interesting to see if Jason Kidd keeps his minutes up, or perhaps increases them after what was truly an astonishing defensive performance against the Suns. Unfortunately for the Mavericks, the Golden State Warriors have four efficient scorers who will need to be contained. The Warriors will cover the spread tonight and win by more than five points on their home floor.
Bet #2: Over 214.5 Total Points (-110)
Dallas scored an impressive 123 points in Game 7, and they did so on the road. I expect them to reach at least 110 points in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. The Warriors shot on and off throughout their series against the Memphis Grizzlies. Nonetheless, they averaged 111 PPG in their series against Memphis (666 total points scored by the Warriors over six games). Both teams play a style of basketball that stresses ball movement to find an open man beyond the arc. When Dallas or Golden State shoot 40%-45% from the field, they can score in the hundreds because of the high volume of shots they take. Dallas started taking more shots and playing at a faster pace in the second half of their series against Phoenix. By the half in Game 7, Dallas was up 57-27. In the game, the Mavericks went 19-of-39 from downtown (48.9%). Even more impressive was Dallas’ 56.8% shooting from the field. Although the Warriors are one of the best defensive teams in the league, a 214.5-point Over / Under for tonight’s game is quite low. Smash the Over.
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NBA Player Props of the Night
Prop #1: Jordan Poole Over 1.5 Threes (-174)
Jordan Poole has finally cooled down after a stretch of three 20-point games against the Grizzlies. Over the last three contests, Poole has only hit two or more three-pointers in one contest. Over those last three games, he shot a combined 3-of-17 from downtown. While Poole has been highly inefficient over the last few games, he’ll hit at least two three-pointers in Game 1 tonight. The odds of this prop reflect how likely it is to happen. Although Poole isn't seeing as high a usage rate as when Curry and Thompson were injured during the regular season, Poole should still see plenty of open looks in the 25+ minutes he should log tonight. Given that Dallas will most likely try to stop Curry and Thompson from beating them, Poole should see a few wide-open looks. He will knock down at least two from deep range tonight.
Prop #2: Klay Thompson Over 20.5 Points (-112)
Klay Thompson has averaged just about 20.5 points since he came back this regular season. Throughout the postseason, he’s played strong and for the most part, been efficient from the field. Through 11 games in this postseason, Thompson is averaging 20.4 PPG on 45% shooting from the field. I like him to hit the over here in his first Western Conference Final matchup in three years. After getting his swagger back and dropping 30 points to eliminate the Grizzlies last round, Thompson should have all. the confidence in the world heading into Game 1 in the bay.
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