NBA Best Bets: Wednesday, Feb. 9
We have a six-game slate of NBA action Wednesday night.
This includes the Tyrese Haliburton-less Kings, who will seek to bounce back after a 20-point loss to the T-Wolves in the second of back-to-back games. The National TV broadcast on ESPN tonight will showcase some of the best teams in the East and West, battling to improve or protect their current playoff standings. Charlotte will try to break out of a five-game losing streak on the road in Chicago while the Utah Jazz will host Stephen Curry and the Warriors tonight.
Best Bets of the Night
Game: Toronto Raptors at Oklahoma City Thunder (Over / Under: 205 points)
Las Vegas is expecting this to be a rather low-scoring game. I think OKC and Toronto will easily exceed 205 points of total scoring tonight. The Raptors have won six games in a row and scored at least 106 points in each of those contests. Although the Thunder are without their best scorer in Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Tre Mann has taken over and has scored his fair share of buckets. Mann is not close to as efficient as SGA, but he’s helped OKC score at least 96 points in each of the last six games. 205 points is a very small total between two NBA teams in general. Toronto hits 100-110 points of offense on most nights. Although OKC is the lowest-scoring team in the association averaging 101 PPG this season, they should tally at least 95-100 points against the Raptors tonight. Toronto is averaging 108.4 PPG this season. Therefore, if the Thunder can tally 100 points tonight on their home floor, this game should easily exceed the total.
The Pick: Over 205 Points (-110)
Game: Chicago Bulls at Charlotte Hornets (-2)
This Eastern Conference showdown is sure to be an entertaining game and a very high-scoring affair. The Over / Under is set at 237 points (which we will not touch at all). The two-point spread indicates how close of a game this is set to be. Charlotte has lost five games in a row, and I do not think they have a chance to break that losing streak at the Spectrum Center tonight. Besides Lonzo Ball and Alex Caruso who remain out indefinitely, the Bulls have Nikola Vucevic, Zach LaVine, and DeMar DeRozan all available for tonight’s game. Coby White has done a great job of filling in for Lonzo Ball. In contrast, the Hornets are lacking serious depth at the forward position tonight. Gordon Hayward, Cody Martin, and Jaden McDaniels are all out for tonight’s game. While Lamelo Ball, Terry Rozier, and Miles Bridges should all play tonight, the Hornets will be without some much-needed muscle. Vucevic should have a big night taking into consideration Charlotte’s lack of depth among power forwards. Mason Plumlee should be his biggest challenge in the paint, and Vuc should easily win that matchup. Don't forget that the Bulls have the highest cover percentage against the spread as favorites.
The Pick: Chicago Bulls -2 (-110)
Game: Minnesota Timberwolves at Sacramento Kings (+9)
Although the Kings didn’t win last night, our suggestion to pick Sacramento to defend the homecourt was published before the blockbuster trade which featured Tyrese Haliburton and Domantas Sabonis. This news unquestionably had an impact on Sacramento’s game. Mixed feelings for players like fans at the Golden 1 Center made the upset pick we suggested simply impossible. The Kings were annihilated by the T-Wolves for a final score of 134 - 114. Sacramento is in a state of disarray as far as its basketball is concerned. The massive deal which sent Domantas Sabonis and Justin Holiday to Sacramento in exchange for Tyrese Haliburton, Tristan Thompson, and Buddy Hield to Indiana is serving as an incalculable source of distraction for members of the Kings' organization. Especially since the newly acquired Domantas Sabonis will likely not be available for the Kings tonight, the Timberwolves should blow them out again and win by at least nine points. There has been too much change and off-the-court shenanigans for the Kings to protect the home floor like I thought they could before the trade took place yesterday. In addition, the Timberwolves are at full strength while the Kings will likely be without Marvin Bagley III and Richaun Holmes for tonight’s contest.
The Pick: Minnesota Timberwolves -9 (-114)
Same Game Parlay of the Night
Game: Golden State Warriors at Utah Jazz (-2.5)
With all the trades that have taken place over the last few days, the Warriors and the Jazz are two teams that have managed to stay away from all that buzz. Feel free to take these props on their own, mix and match them, or take them all for the biggest potential win tonight.
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Prop #1: Stephen Curry, Over 25.5 Points+ (-112)
Klay Thompson will not be active for tonight’s contest between the Warriors and the Jazz. Stephen Curry should do a majority of the scoring and have a huge night. He’s only scored more than 30 points in two of his last 10 games. Steph has been in somewhat of a slump as of late which has affected his season totals. He is averaging 25.7 PPG on 42.2% shooting from the field, the latter of which is a career-low average. While Curry shot 40.5 FG% in five games he played in 2019 before sustaining a season-ending injury, Steph has never shot below 45% from the field in any season of his thirteen years in the league. Curry should easily score at least 26 points tonight without Klay Thompson in the rotation.
Prop #2: Andrew Wiggins, Over 17.5 Points (-104)
For the same reason as Stephen Curry, Andrew Wiggins will likely score more than 17.5 points tonight. He has scored 12 points and 15 points in his last two contests respectively, which is well below his season average of 18.1 PPG. However, he should certainly take a few of the shots Klay Thompson will not be taking tonight. Like Curry, I think Wiggins hits the over in points tonight especially after having two back-to-back relatively low-scoring nights.
Prop #3: Royce O’Neale, Over 6.5 Points (-122)
Since Joe Ingles' season ended last week with a torn ACL, Royce O’Neale has maintained his 30+ MPG. However, he’s scored six points in each of his last two contests and missed his points prop on both of those nights. This evening, he only needs to score one more point to cash this prop. In the game that preceded his two six-point nights, O’Neale recorded 15 points in 34 minutes. I expect him to produce at least 10 points of offense tonight in a tightly contested battle.
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