Travis Kelce has a chance to become the first tight end to lead the league in receiving yards
As Ferris Bueller might say: The world of sports moves pretty fast...
... If you don't stop and look around at least once a week, you could miss it. In this special edition of The Weekly Assist we will award the best fantasy performers from the 2020 regular season. Now that your league has moved into the postseason, let's take a look at some of the players that helped you get there!
Most Outstanding Quarterback
Aaron Rodgers Green Bay Packers
- 3,685 passing yards - NFL-best 39 TD passes - League-leading 119.7 passer rating - NFC North champion RT if… https://t.co/2KwsCp2aXV— Green Bay Packers (@Green Bay Packers) 1607913156.0
Rodgers entered this season with questions looming over him, even after leading his team to the NFC Championship in 2019. Coming off three consecutive seasons (one cut short due to injury) where he failed to throw for more than 26 touchdowns led most of us to think his illustrious career was on the downtrend.
Another year in the Matt LaFleur offense seemed to be just what the Packers and Rodgers needed to live up to the expectations that came along with the coaching hire. LaFleur has found the right balance to maximize Rodgers' talents while keeping his talented back, Aaron Jones, involved in both the run and pass game.
The result has been one of Rodgers' best seasons as he's first in passing touchdowns (39) and in QBR (84.8). In fantasy football, touchdowns are king, and nobody has been more efficient at producing them from the QB position this year than A-A-Ron and for that reason he takes home Most Outstanding Quarterback for the 2020 regular fantasy season.
Like-A-Rock Award for Best Performance from a Running Back
Respect between @BarrySanders and @KingHenry_2 🤝 https://t.co/3Wo8wXlfb7— B/R Gridiron (@B/R Gridiron) 1607924216.0
Derrick Henry Tennessee Titans
When you lead the league in rushing yards and touchdowns you're going to be in consideration for this award. But when you do it with the panache and physicality that we've seen Derrick Henry run with this season, he embodies the phrase "like a rock". If not for missing a few games due to injury this season we may be talking about Dalvin Cook here instead, but Henry has been the catalyst for the Titans' success this season and likely for his fantasy owners.
Even when Ryan Tannehill and the passing game struggled, Henry seems to be slump-proof. Henry has amassed eight 100 yard rushing games including two games over 200 yards. His 14 touchdowns is tied with Dalvin Cook for the league lead, but Henry also projects to be a better player for his fantasy teams through the fantasy playoffs.
Henry may not be the prototypical modern day fantasy running back that catches balls out of the backfield, but he is nearly unstoppable in the open field, and up until now we have no evidence to prove that he is not the Terminator. Unfortunately for opposing NFL teams and fantasy managers that don't have Derrick Henry, in 2021 he will be back.
J.P. Prewitt Award (Best Hands *Zoolander Reference*) Wide Receiver of the Year
Only a @Cheetah can run this fast. #ChiefsKingdom 📺: #KCvsMIA on CBS 📱: NFL app // Yahoo Sports app:… https://t.co/CSedHz2VVk— NFL (@NFL) 1607885702.0
Tyreek Hill Kansas City Chiefs
This decision was the toughest one to make on this list. Davante Adams has been just as good and just as important to his team and fantasy owners. Both benefit from having excellent quarterbacks and strong running games to support them. But the deciding differentiating factor between them in choosing a winner is the blinding speed that Hill possesses and the way that it can alter the outcomes of games.
We have seen Kansas City struggle to get their offense going in a few games this season, but Hill is always the guy that Patrick Mahomes will look to when they need a big play. Trying to keep the Cheetah in front of you is nearly impossible so don't even waste your time trying to game plan for him.
Hill is only ranked 14th in receptions with 77 but he's fourth in receiving yards (1,158) and tied for the league lead in touchdowns with 14. Considering how much more he's able to do with less catches, it's hard to argue that he isn't the most dangerous player in the league with the ball in his hands. As long as Patrick Mahomes is throwing him the ball, Hill is a walking touchdown waiting to happen. Hill's Week 12 performance against the Buccaneers is the highlight of his season as he posted 269 receiving yards and three touchdowns on 13 catches.
The Tony *Gonzalez* Award for Best Supporting Role in an Offense
Travis Kelce carrying me and my decimated roster through the fantasy playoffs https://t.co/UZishi1JYP— Mina Kimes (@Mina Kimes) 1607887489.0
Travis Kelce Kansas City Chiefs
Kelce currently leads the league in receiving yards. A tight end has never finished the season as the league's leader in that category. It seems like foregone conclusion that Kelce will become the first to accomplish that feat. Over his last six games Kelce either has had 100 yards receiving or a touchdown in five of them.
Kelce is one of the most consistent players on a week to week basis because he's Patrick Mahomes' favorite target. A former quarterback, Kelce has the advantage of seeing the field from a QB's perspective which is likely why you always see him open in the passing game.
There are a few players in the league we consider to be at the top of their positions, but none have distanced themselves from their nearest competition in quite the same way we've seen Kelce do it at the tight end position. The only other player considered here was Darren Waller of the Las Vegas Raiders, but the statistical advantage that Travis Kelce held was too big to ignore.
Just like in most of the Chiefs' regular season games, Travis Kelce won this one by a landslide.
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After three consecutive victories, the Golden State Warriors conceded Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals to the Dallas Mavericks. In Game 5, the Warriors will look to close out Luka Doncic and the Mavs in front of the home crowd. As a team, the Warriors were efficient from the field, converting 48.8% of their shots taken. One of the main reasons Golden State lost was a result of poor free-throw shooting. The Warriors missed nine of their 27 free throws on Tuesday night (65.4 FT%). In comparison, the Mavericks were full-throttle in Game 4 facing elimination. Dallas’ Reggie Bullock (18 PTS) and Dorian Finney Smith (23 PTS) combined for 42 points, adding to Luka’s 30.
Ultimately, no team has ever come back from a 3-0 lead in the playoffs, meaning that the Warriors will almost certainly be heading back to the NBA Finals. Let’s take a look at what the best bets are for tonight’s Game 5.
Please note that all odds and lines are from FanDuel Sportsbook and were accurate at 2:00 PM EST. Be sure to check for line movement or odd changes.
Best Bets of the Night
Game: Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors -6.5 (GSW Leads 3-1)
Bet #1: Dallas Mavericks, +6.5 (-110)
We like Dallas to keep it close. Perhaps Dallas has a 10-point lead going into the third quarter which the Warriors could then overtake in the second half. Regardless of the scenario, the Mavericks won against a Warriors team that still put up 109 points in Game 4 on close to 50% shooting from the field. Dallas shot above 50% from the field in Game 4 and took many shots to get there just like they did in Game 7 of the Western Conference Semis against the Phoenix Suns. Even Jalen Brunson said in the post-game interview with the guys from Inside the NBA that his team needs to "take it one game at a time (...) like four Game 7s."
While the Warriors are in it to win it tonight, the Mavericks seem to perform best when facing elimination this 2022 postseason. While they might lose tonight, the Mavericks seem to play well under pressure. As a result, take them +7 tonight as the Warriors will have a bigger challenge on their hands than they anticipate.
Bet #2: Over 215.5 Total Points (-110)
In two of the series’ four games, both teams combined for at least 220 points. In Game 2, 243 points were scored while in Game 4, there were 228 points tallied. The Mavericks shoot more when facing elimination. This has been a trend we have seen throughout the postseason. In Game 7 of the Western Conference Semis, the Mavericks scored 123 points while in Game 4 against the Warriors on Tuesday, Dallas scored 119 points. Not much more needs to be said about the Warriors’ high-power offense that will likely outscore Dallas regardless of how many points they get on the board.
NBA Player Props of the Night
Game: Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors -6.5 (GSW Leads 3-1)
Prop #1: Dorian Finney-Smith Over 11.5 Points
Dorian Finney-Smith erupted for 23 points in Game 4 to help the Mavericks rally past the Warriors. Throughout the 2022 playoffs, he’s averaged 11.6 PPG shooting 46.5% from the field. He’s also seeing 38.2 minutes per contest this postseason. Expect Finney-Smith to score at least 12 points tonight after his 23-points in Game 4.
Prop #2: Klay Thompson Over 18.5 Points
Klay Thompson was held to 12 points scored in Game 4. Despite going 5-of-10 from the field, Klay was limited by Dallas on defense in 28 minutes on the floor on Tuesday night. He should definitely be taking more shots tonight and perform better overall being back home for a Game 5. Thompson should easily hit at least 20+ points tonight, and take a handful more shots from the field in this contest than in Tuesday’s.
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Stephen Curry, Golden State Warriors
In Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals, Bam Adebayo's 31-point and 10-rebound double-double led the Miami Heat to a 109-103 victory over the Celtics on the road. That was followed by a dominant second-half performance by Stephen Curry and Andrew Wiggins who led the Warriors to a 3-0 lead in the Western Conference Finals.
Tonight, we'll get the first of these two matchups. Boston will look to come back in their second home game against a Heat team that is clearly not at 100% healthy. Tyler Herro has been ruled out for Game 4 while Kyle Lowry remains questionable. Here are some of the best bets for tonight's and tomorrow's big Game 4s.
Please note that all odds and lines are from FanDuel Sportsbook and were accurate at 3:30 PM EST. Be sure to check for line movement or odd changes.
ECF Game 4: Miami Heat at Boston Celtics -7 (MIA Leads 2-1)
In Game 4, the Celtics rallied back from double-digits to make things interesting in the fourth quarter. However, Boston conceded Game 3 to the Miami Heat 109-103. On Sunday, Bam Adebayo was getting everything he wanted down low. He finished with 31 points, 10 boards, six assists, four steals, and one block. Ime Udoka will need to boost the presence of his big men down low, perhaps by extending Daniel Theis’ minutes or having him share the floor more with Al Horford. The major reason for which the Heat are considered the seven-point underdogs for tonight’s game is injuries. Tyler Herro has already been ruled out for Game 4, and the Heat have four or five other players in their lineup currently listed as questionable. This includes Max Struss, Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, and P.J. Tucker. Butler is dealing with knee inflammation which sidelined him for the second half of Game 3.
Even if all of the players in the Heat’s rotation are good to go tonight (outside of Herro), Boston has not lost back-to-back home games since late October. Plus, Jaylen Brown is shooting much better than he did earlier in the postseason. In fact, he’s elevated his shooting to 50% from the field through the 2021-22 playoffs through 14 games played. Expect Boston to bounce back big in Game 4, with multiple players on the Miami Heat not at full strength.
The Pick: Boston Celtics -7 (-110)
WCF Game 4: Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks -1 (GSW Leads 3-0)
Well, it’s looking like the Golden State Warriors are returning to the NBA Finals. With the emergence of Jordan Poole late this season and into the postseason, Andrew Wiggins’ First-Team All-Star season, and Klay Thompson’s return to basketball, Golden State has been simply phenomenal. Golden State is simply that good this year, with anyone on the team capable of stepping up. Stephen Curry erupted in Game 3, while it was Andrew Wiggins that caught fire in the second half of Game 4. Any given night, the Warriors have one or two guys who they can count on for scoring approximately 25+ points. Considering the Mavericks' struggles this round, particularly behind the three-point line, bettors should go with the Warriors as the slight underdog. Teams get swept sometimes. Just ask the Brooklyn Nets. The Warriors will bring out the brooms and sweep the Mavericks as they punch their ticket to the NBA Finals Tuesday night.
The Pick: Golden State Warriors ML -104
NBA Player Props
Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks -1 (GSW Leads 3-0)
Prop #1: Stephen Curry, Over 27.5 Points
Stephen Curry has scored 31 points and 32 points over the last two games. He’s done so by converting at least 50% from the field in each contest. It makes sense that he would score at least 28 points in a series-clinching victory tomorrow night. Curry is averaging 27.1 PPG on 45.9% this postseason but has certainly put up more points and done so more efficiently over the last few games.
Prop #2: Luka Doncic, Over 3.5 Threes
Luka has drained nine three-pointers over the last two games. He’s knocked down at least four threes in three of his last four contests. Facing elimination and hoping to not let down the home crowd in back-to-back home playoff games, Doncic will convert at least four baskets from downtown in Game 4.
Tyler Herro (Left), Bam Adebayo (Right), Miami Heat
Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, and the Miami Heat held their own against the Celtics in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Likewise, Andrew Wiggins and Stephen Curry led the Warriors to a 112-87 blowout over Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks. Tonight, the Celtics play their second game on the road against the Heat. On Friday night, the Mavericks will look to bounce back after shooting horrifically in Game 1.
Let’s take a look at the best bets for the two NBA Conference Final Game 2 matchups set for 8:30 PM EST. tonight and 9:00 PM EST. tomorrow night.
Please note that all odds and lines are from FanDuel Sportsbook and were accurate at 4:30 PM EST. Be sure to check for line movement or odd changes.
Best Bets of the Night
Game: Boston Celtics at Miami Heat -2 (MIA Leads 1-0)
After a nail-biting series with the Milwaukee Bucks that the Celtics won in grandiose fashion, Boston conceded Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals to the Miami Heat. Tonight, they play Game 2 of the series at the FTX Arena and hope to bounce back from Tuesday’s 11-point loss. One of the principal reasons for their defeat in Game 1 was the absence of Marcus Smart (foot sprain) and Al Horford (health & safety protocols). It remained a relatively close game until the third quarter in which the Celtics were outscored 14-3 to begin the second half. Derrick White filled in for Marcus Smart and was terribly inefficient from the field. He scored three points (1-4 FG) and had four assists in 29 minutes filling in for the Defensive Player of the Year. In contrast, Max Struss and Gabe Vincent did a terrific job of filling in for Kyle Lowry, combining for 28 points on 9-of-19 shooting. In addition, Tyler Herro had a good night with a pivotal 18 points (7-15 FG) off the bench. Fortunately for the Celtics, both Smart and Horford are expected to return tonight.
Head Coach Ime Udoka indicated to reporters today that Smart was probable to play this evening. Horford was cleared of health and safety protocols today making him available for tonight’s contest. For those of you who have watched the Celtics this postseason, Horford and Smart have upped their play and have been absolutely integral to the team’s success. Tonight, let’s take the Boston Celtics to take a game on the road in the same fashion that they took two road games from the Bucks in the last series.
The Pick: Boston Celtics ML +108
Tonight's Best NBA Player Props
Game: Boston Celtics at Miami Heat -2 (MIA Leads 1-0)
Prop#1: Gabe Vincent Over 9.5 Points
Prop#2: Al Horford Over 9.5 Points
Tomorrow Night's Best NBA Bet
Game: Dallas Mavericks at Golden State -6 (GSW Leads 1-0)
Dallas was annihilated by Golden State in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. This comes after the Mavs blew out the Phoenix Suns on the road in impressive fashion, punching their ticket to the next round of the playoffs for a series against the Warriors. Golden State shot an impressive 56.1% from the field in the opening game and finished with 112 points. Just as important as the offensive production, Golden State clamped down on defense. The Warriors contained Luka Doncic, who converted just six of his 18 field goals on his way to 20 points. Andrew Wiggins did an excellent job guarding the young playmaker. Luka's teammates didn't help out much either as the Mavericks shot 36% from the field in Game 1, and 22.9% from downtown (11-48 3PT FG) for just 87 points on the night.
While I think the Warriors will win again on Friday night, expect the Mavericks to keep things more interesting after such an abysmal night shooting from the field. Dallas will make the adjustments needed to make this a competitive Game 2 in the Bay area.
The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +6 (-110)
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