NBA Betting Preview & Best Bets: Tuesday, Mar. 8
We have a nice six-game slate in the NBA tonight.
TNT will feature the Memphis Grizzlies at the New Orleans Pelicans at 7:30, followed by the Clippers who will take on the Golden State Warriors on the road at 10 PM. (We tend to include nationally televised games for our picks so readers can cheer for the team he or she wagered on while watching).
Please Note: All odds are accurate as of 3:00 PM EST. according to FanDuel Sportsbook.
Best Bets of The Night
Game 1: New Orleans Pelicans at Memphis Grizzlies - 5.5
Memphis continues to impress and create distance between them and other teams at the top of the NBA rankings for teams that cover bets. At home, they will be taking on the CJ McCollum-led Pelicans. While this should be an interesting matchup, Memphis should win this game by 10 or more points. The 27-37 Pelicans are a team that is rebuilding and has little left to play for this season. Moreover, New Orleans is average against opposing guards, which simply won’t cut it on defense when going up against Ja Morant and Desmond Bane. The Memphis offense will overwhelm the Pelicans who are on the road facing very enthusiastic Grizzlies fans, poised to make a strong push in the playoffs.
The Pick: Memphis Grizzlies -6.5 (-110)
With KD back in the rotation and Seth Curry playing great basketball, the Nets will meet the Hornets’ sharp-shooting. This should be a high-scoring game, with a lot of three-pointers taken. Charlotte is the second-highest scoring team in the NBA, producing 114.3 PPG. Brooklyn ranks 12th and has recorded 110.8 PPG this season. If both teams meet their season average in point-scoring, the total would be about 225-227 points. The Over/Under set for tonight's game is a sky-high 240 points, meaning that each team would have to average 120 points of offense tonight, and 13 to 15 more points of offense than both teams are averaging this season combined. As a result, take the Under while FanDuel tries to get sneaky with their lines.
The Pick: Under 240 Total Points (-110)
Game 3: Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State Warriors (-5.5)
I think this will be a high-scoring game with a lot of three-point attempts, similar to the Hornets-Nets matchup. While the Warriors are averaging 111.2 PPG and rank 11th among the highest-scoring teams in the league, the Los Angeles Clippers are the 25th team in the rankings, scoring an average of 107 PPG. The Warriors are 5.5 point favorites tonight at home, which seems pretty low. However, the Clippers are red-hot right now and have won seven of their last 10 games. This explains why the spread is less than six points, although the Warriors are the current third seed in the West while the Clippers hold the eighth seed. With Andrew Wiggins, Klay Thompson, and Stephen Curry all starting tonight for Golden State, they comfortably defend the homecourt tonight against the Clippers.
The Pick: Golden State Warriors - 5.5 (-110)
Same Game Parlay Of The Night
Game: Los Angeles Clippers at Golden State Warriors (-5.5)
Anytime you place SGPs on Golden State and Stephen Curry’s point Over/Under is below 25, you must pull the trigger on the prop. Certainly, Curry’s point production has dropped this season but after a game of rest, I expect him to chef up 30+ points tonight against a Los Angeles Clippers defense that struggles against opposing guards. Curry has an advantageous matchup tonight and the Clips are still missing their two best players (and perhaps more importantly for this prop) their two best defenders in Paul George and Kawhi Leonard.
Leg 2: Stephen Curry Over 4.5 Rebounds
Since Steph is out there the entire game and because the Clippers are weak against guards, he will likely haul in at least five boards tonight. Curry is averaging 5.2 rebounds per game this season and has recorded at least five rebounds in five of his last nine games. I think we are going to see a huge night from Curry, both in rebounds and in points.
Leg 3: Andrew Wiggins Over 1.5 Threes
One department in which Wiggins has truly improved as a player is his three-point shooting. Playing alongside Stephen Curry and now Klay Thompson has truly helped him improve his percentage from beyond the arc. This season, Wiggins is converting a career-high 40.7% of his shots taken from deep. In comparison, he is only a 35% three-point shooter for his NBA career. Making matters better, Wiggins is averaging 2.4 threes per game on his home court this season.
Leg 4: Andrew Wiggins Over 4.5 Rebounds
Andrew Wiggins is averaging 4.3 rebounds per game this season but has recorded five or more boards in each of his last three contests. Since he’s playing 30+ MPG each night and has a very long wingspan, five rebounds for the young athletic Canadian wing should not be too difficult.
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