Giannis Antetokounmpo, Milwaukee Bucks (Left) & Jaylen Brown, Boston Celtics (Right)

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As we head into mid-May, the NBA Playoffs are into Game 4's of the Western Conference and Eastern Conference Semi-Finals.

Tonight, the Boston Celtics will look to tie their series up on the road after a brutal 103-101 defeat to the Bucks in Game 3. In the West, the Memphis Grizzlies who will be without Ja Morant in Game 4 are in need of a miracle to take Game 4 on the road from Golden State. Let's take a look at the best NBA Playoffs bets and player props of this evening.

Please Note: All odds and lines are from FanDuel Sportsbook and were accurate at 12 PM EST. Be sure to check for line movement or odd changes.

Game: Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks -1 (MIL Leads 2-1)

Milwaukee won their first of two games at home by only two points. In Boston, both teams got a win. In Game 3, Giannis Antetokounmpo had another huge game. He finished with 42 points, 12 rebounds, eight assists, two blocks, and two steals. Giannis and the Bucks got whatever they wanted down low in Game 3.

Both teams shot poorly from the field, but the Bucks shot just a little better and got more shots off. Milwaukee finished the night shooting 40.4% (40-99 FG) as a team, while Boston converted 36.8% (32-87 FG) as a team. Ultimately, Boston has a good chance of bouncing back tonight. They couldn’t shoot worse as a team than they did in Game 3, and Boston wants to leave Milwaukee with a win, the same way the Bucks stripped them of one of the first home games.

The Pick: Boston Celtics +1 (-110)

Game: Memphis Grizzlies at Golden State Warriors -10 (GSW Leads 2-1)

Golden State scored a whopping 142 points on Saturday night to win Game 3 of their series against the Memphis Grizzlies by 30 points. No team can score that much unless they have impeccable ball movement, strong defense, and great shooting. The Warriors hit on all of those marks. Regarding ball movement, you will have to watch to see their magic. While the Grizzlies shot a very mediocre 43.5% from the field in Game 3, the Warriors converted 53-of-84 shots from the field ending the night shooting 63.1% from the field as a team. The new Splash brothers are making a bang in the 2022 playoffs. Stephen Curry (30 PTS), Klay Thompson (21 PTS), and Jordan Poole (27 PTS) combined for 78 points on the night. Each of them shot 50% or better from the field. While Golden State is clearly capable of shooting 50% from the field night in and night out, Memphis cannot. With the exception of Ja Morant who scored 34 points (13-21 FG), the Grizzlies’ core players ran into a wall in Game 3. Jaren Jackson Jr. had another rough night, scoring 15 points (4-13 FG) in 29 minutes. For some reason, De’Anthony Melton took 14 shots from the field only to convert five of them (35.7 FG%). Finally, Tyus Jones and Brandon Clarke combined for only six points and one-of-nine shooting from the field! While Memphis should shoot better from the field in Game 4 (how could they shoot worse in the playoffs?), it still won’t be enough to contain Golden State’s unbelievable chemistry and high-power offense. The biggest concern for the Grizzlies is the health of Ja Morant, who injured his knee after Jordan Poole inadvertently pulled it when attempting to steal the ball late in the fourth quarter of Game 3.

The only player on the Grizzlies who has been reliable through the first three games of this Western Conference Semifinal has been Morant. The latest news suggests that Ja will not play in Game 4, which would be devastating for the Memphis Grizzlies. If the Grizzlies lose both games on the road, they will head back to Memphis down 3-1 in the series. That's never a good deficit to have to fight out of in the NBA Playoffs.

Besides Morant and Bane, everyone else on Memphis’ roster has been inconsistent and unreliable. Notably, Jaren Jackson seems uncomfortable on the floor. While Bane and Morant are doing their job, Jackson hasn’t been able to consistently throughout these playoffs. In contrast, I can’t remember the last time Jordan Poole scored less than 20 points (Eight points in 26 minutes played during a blowout win against Denver Game 5). Simply put, the Grizzlies can’t rely on Ja Morant, and maybe Desmond Bane every night. While betting on the +390 moneyline for Memphis to win would be irresponsible, consider taking Memphis +10 to cover the spread. Golden State could still win by nine points, and you’d come out on top. Even without Morant, the Grizzlies have a ton of energy and speed and are one of the few teams in the league that can run with Golden State. Tyus Jones and De'Anthony Melton will have much more significant roles to play in Morant's absence while Desmond Bane and Dillon Brooks will need to produce scorching-hot numbers to keep Memphis competitive in this pivotal Game 4.

The Pick: Memphis Grizzlies +10 (-110)

NBA Player Props of the Night

Game: Boston Celtics at Milwaukee Bucks (MIL Leads 2-1)

Prop: Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 30.5 Points (-120)

Giannis erupted for 42 points in Game 3. It’s tough to picture him scoring 10 fewer points tonight than he did on Saturday. The Greek Freak is certainly feeding off of the home crowd’s energy. Through the first two games of the series, Giannis combined for 20-of-52 (or 38%) shooting from the field. In his return home in Game 3, Giannis knocked down 16 of his 30 shots taken from the field. Expect him to shoot 50% or better from the field in Game 4 to score approximately 35 points. Without Khris Middleton, Milwaukee is letting Giannis attack the rim whenever he gets the ball. Jrue Holiday, Bobby Portis, Brook Lopez, and even Pat Connaughton have all stepped up big time but it's still the Greek Freak's show in Milwaukee.

Prop: Jaylen Brown Over 2.5 Threes (-150)

In the first round of the playoffs, Jaylen Brown struggled from deep. In fact, through those four games against the Nets in the first round, Brown shot for a combined 4-of-19 (or 21%) from downtown. However, things are looking better for Boston’s star wing against Milwaukee. Through Boston's first three games of their series against the Bucks, Brown has shot 10-of-24 (or 41.6%) from three-point range. With the exception of Game 3 where Brown only converted one-of-five of his three-pointers, Brown hit at least three three-point field goals in Games 1 and 2. After a tough loss in Game 3, expect Brown to shoot better from downtown, and knock down at least three shots from deep tonight.

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Klay Thompson, Golden State Warriors
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After three consecutive victories, the Golden State Warriors conceded Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals to the Dallas Mavericks. In Game 5, the Warriors will look to close out Luka Doncic and the Mavs in front of the home crowd. As a team, the Warriors were efficient from the field, converting 48.8% of their shots taken. One of the main reasons Golden State lost was a result of poor free-throw shooting. The Warriors missed nine of their 27 free throws on Tuesday night (65.4 FT%). In comparison, the Mavericks were full-throttle in Game 4 facing elimination. Dallas’ Reggie Bullock (18 PTS) and Dorian Finney Smith (23 PTS) combined for 42 points, adding to Luka’s 30.

Ultimately, no team has ever come back from a 3-0 lead in the playoffs, meaning that the Warriors will almost certainly be heading back to the NBA Finals. Let’s take a look at what the best bets are for tonight’s Game 5.

Please note that all odds and lines are from FanDuel Sportsbook and were accurate at 2:00 PM EST. Be sure to check for line movement or odd changes.

Best Bets of the Night

Game: Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors -6.5 (GSW Leads 3-1)

Bet #1: Dallas Mavericks, +6.5 (-110)

We like Dallas to keep it close. Perhaps Dallas has a 10-point lead going into the third quarter which the Warriors could then overtake in the second half. Regardless of the scenario, the Mavericks won against a Warriors team that still put up 109 points in Game 4 on close to 50% shooting from the field. Dallas shot above 50% from the field in Game 4 and took many shots to get there just like they did in Game 7 of the Western Conference Semis against the Phoenix Suns. Even Jalen Brunson said in the post-game interview with the guys from Inside the NBA that his team needs to "take it one game at a time (...) like four Game 7s."

While the Warriors are in it to win it tonight, the Mavericks seem to perform best when facing elimination this 2022 postseason. While they might lose tonight, the Mavericks seem to play well under pressure. As a result, take them +7 tonight as the Warriors will have a bigger challenge on their hands than they anticipate.

Bet #2: Over 215.5 Total Points (-110)

In two of the series’ four games, both teams combined for at least 220 points. In Game 2, 243 points were scored while in Game 4, there were 228 points tallied. The Mavericks shoot more when facing elimination. This has been a trend we have seen throughout the postseason. In Game 7 of the Western Conference Semis, the Mavericks scored 123 points while in Game 4 against the Warriors on Tuesday, Dallas scored 119 points. Not much more needs to be said about the Warriors’ high-power offense that will likely outscore Dallas regardless of how many points they get on the board.

NBA Player Props of the Night

Game: Dallas Mavericks at Golden State Warriors -6.5 (GSW Leads 3-1)

Prop #1: Dorian Finney-Smith Over 11.5 Points

Dorian Finney-Smith erupted for 23 points in Game 4 to help the Mavericks rally past the Warriors. Throughout the 2022 playoffs, he’s averaged 11.6 PPG shooting 46.5% from the field. He’s also seeing 38.2 minutes per contest this postseason. Expect Finney-Smith to score at least 12 points tonight after his 23-points in Game 4.

Prop #2: Klay Thompson Over 18.5 Points

Klay Thompson was held to 12 points scored in Game 4. Despite going 5-of-10 from the field, Klay was limited by Dallas on defense in 28 minutes on the floor on Tuesday night. He should definitely be taking more shots tonight and perform better overall being back home for a Game 5. Thompson should easily hit at least 20+ points tonight, and take a handful more shots from the field in this contest than in Tuesday’s.

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Stephen Curry, Golden State Warriors

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In Game 3 of the Eastern Conference Finals, Bam Adebayo's 31-point and 10-rebound double-double led the Miami Heat to a 109-103 victory over the Celtics on the road. That was followed by a dominant second-half performance by Stephen Curry and Andrew Wiggins who led the Warriors to a 3-0 lead in the Western Conference Finals.

Tonight, we'll get the first of these two matchups. Boston will look to come back in their second home game against a Heat team that is clearly not at 100% healthy. Tyler Herro has been ruled out for Game 4 while Kyle Lowry remains questionable. Here are some of the best bets for tonight's and tomorrow's big Game 4s.

Please note that all odds and lines are from FanDuel Sportsbook and were accurate at 3:30 PM EST. Be sure to check for line movement or odd changes.

ECF Game 4: Miami Heat at Boston Celtics -7 (MIA Leads 2-1)

In Game 4, the Celtics rallied back from double-digits to make things interesting in the fourth quarter. However, Boston conceded Game 3 to the Miami Heat 109-103. On Sunday, Bam Adebayo was getting everything he wanted down low. He finished with 31 points, 10 boards, six assists, four steals, and one block. Ime Udoka will need to boost the presence of his big men down low, perhaps by extending Daniel Theis’ minutes or having him share the floor more with Al Horford. The major reason for which the Heat are considered the seven-point underdogs for tonight’s game is injuries. Tyler Herro has already been ruled out for Game 4, and the Heat have four or five other players in their lineup currently listed as questionable. This includes Max Struss, Kyle Lowry, Jimmy Butler, and P.J. Tucker. Butler is dealing with knee inflammation which sidelined him for the second half of Game 3.

Even if all of the players in the Heat’s rotation are good to go tonight (outside of Herro), Boston has not lost back-to-back home games since late October. Plus, Jaylen Brown is shooting much better than he did earlier in the postseason. In fact, he’s elevated his shooting to 50% from the field through the 2021-22 playoffs through 14 games played. Expect Boston to bounce back big in Game 4, with multiple players on the Miami Heat not at full strength.

The Pick: Boston Celtics -7 (-110)

WCF Game 4: Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks -1 (GSW Leads 3-0)

Well, it’s looking like the Golden State Warriors are returning to the NBA Finals. With the emergence of Jordan Poole late this season and into the postseason, Andrew Wiggins’ First-Team All-Star season, and Klay Thompson’s return to basketball, Golden State has been simply phenomenal. Golden State is simply that good this year, with anyone on the team capable of stepping up. Stephen Curry erupted in Game 3, while it was Andrew Wiggins that caught fire in the second half of Game 4. Any given night, the Warriors have one or two guys who they can count on for scoring approximately 25+ points. Considering the Mavericks' struggles this round, particularly behind the three-point line, bettors should go with the Warriors as the slight underdog. Teams get swept sometimes. Just ask the Brooklyn Nets. The Warriors will bring out the brooms and sweep the Mavericks as they punch their ticket to the NBA Finals Tuesday night.

The Pick: Golden State Warriors ML -104

NBA Player Props

Golden State Warriors at Dallas Mavericks -1 (GSW Leads 3-0)

Prop #1: Stephen Curry, Over 27.5 Points

Stephen Curry has scored 31 points and 32 points over the last two games. He’s done so by converting at least 50% from the field in each contest. It makes sense that he would score at least 28 points in a series-clinching victory tomorrow night. Curry is averaging 27.1 PPG on 45.9% this postseason but has certainly put up more points and done so more efficiently over the last few games.

Prop #2: Luka Doncic, Over 3.5 Threes

Luka has drained nine three-pointers over the last two games. He’s knocked down at least four threes in three of his last four contests. Facing elimination and hoping to not let down the home crowd in back-to-back home playoff games, Doncic will convert at least four baskets from downtown in Game 4.

Tyler Herro (Left), Bam Adebayo (Right), Miami Heat

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Jimmy Butler, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo, and the Miami Heat held their own against the Celtics in Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals. Likewise, Andrew Wiggins and Stephen Curry led the Warriors to a 112-87 blowout over Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks. Tonight, the Celtics play their second game on the road against the Heat. On Friday night, the Mavericks will look to bounce back after shooting horrifically in Game 1.

Let’s take a look at the best bets for the two NBA Conference Final Game 2 matchups set for 8:30 PM EST. tonight and 9:00 PM EST. tomorrow night.

Please note that all odds and lines are from FanDuel Sportsbook and were accurate at 4:30 PM EST. Be sure to check for line movement or odd changes.

Best Bets of the Night

Game: Boston Celtics at Miami Heat -2 (MIA Leads 1-0)

After a nail-biting series with the Milwaukee Bucks that the Celtics won in grandiose fashion, Boston conceded Game 1 of the Eastern Conference Finals to the Miami Heat. Tonight, they play Game 2 of the series at the FTX Arena and hope to bounce back from Tuesday’s 11-point loss. One of the principal reasons for their defeat in Game 1 was the absence of Marcus Smart (foot sprain) and Al Horford (health & safety protocols). It remained a relatively close game until the third quarter in which the Celtics were outscored 14-3 to begin the second half. Derrick White filled in for Marcus Smart and was terribly inefficient from the field. He scored three points (1-4 FG) and had four assists in 29 minutes filling in for the Defensive Player of the Year. In contrast, Max Struss and Gabe Vincent did a terrific job of filling in for Kyle Lowry, combining for 28 points on 9-of-19 shooting. In addition, Tyler Herro had a good night with a pivotal 18 points (7-15 FG) off the bench. Fortunately for the Celtics, both Smart and Horford are expected to return tonight.

Head Coach Ime Udoka indicated to reporters today that Smart was probable to play this evening. Horford was cleared of health and safety protocols today making him available for tonight’s contest. For those of you who have watched the Celtics this postseason, Horford and Smart have upped their play and have been absolutely integral to the team’s success. Tonight, let’s take the Boston Celtics to take a game on the road in the same fashion that they took two road games from the Bucks in the last series.

The Pick: Boston Celtics ML +108

Tonight's Best NBA Player Props

Game: Boston Celtics at Miami Heat -2 (MIA Leads 1-0)

Prop#1: Gabe Vincent Over 9.5 Points
In Game 1 without Kyle Lowry, Gabe Vincent scored 17 points in 34 minutes on 50% shooting from the field. As Kyle Lowry is out again for Game 2 tonight, expect Vincent to score at least 10 points. Vincent has performed admirably while filling in for the veteran. Even when Lowry returns, it's quite possible that Erik Spoelstra will give some of Lowry's minutes to Vincent.
Prop#2: Al Horford Over 9.5 Points
After five straight double-digit scoring performances, Al Horford scored eight points or fewer in the last three games of the Eastern Conference Semifinals against the Bucks. He missed Game 1 of the Celtics' series against the Miami Heat after entering Health & Safety protocols. Since he was only out for one game, he shouldn't face any minute restrictions tonight. Horford should score at least 10 points in 30+ minutes on the floor.

Tomorrow Night's Best NBA Bet

Game: Dallas Mavericks at Golden State -6 (GSW Leads 1-0)

Dallas was annihilated by Golden State in Game 1 of the Western Conference Finals. This comes after the Mavs blew out the Phoenix Suns on the road in impressive fashion, punching their ticket to the next round of the playoffs for a series against the Warriors. Golden State shot an impressive 56.1% from the field in the opening game and finished with 112 points. Just as important as the offensive production, Golden State clamped down on defense. The Warriors contained Luka Doncic, who converted just six of his 18 field goals on his way to 20 points. Andrew Wiggins did an excellent job guarding the young playmaker. Luka's teammates didn't help out much either as the Mavericks shot 36% from the field in Game 1, and 22.9% from downtown (11-48 3PT FG) for just 87 points on the night.

While I think the Warriors will win again on Friday night, expect the Mavericks to keep things more interesting after such an abysmal night shooting from the field. Dallas will make the adjustments needed to make this a competitive Game 2 in the Bay area.

The Pick: Dallas Mavericks +6 (-110)

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