NBA Best Bets: Tuesday, February 15

Tobias Harris, Philadelphia 76ers

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Seven games are on the schedule for tonight. This includes an Eastern Conference showdown on TNT between the Boston Celtics and Philadelphia 76ers who we will use to make our Same Game Parlay of the night. Let's jump into some best bets for tonight's slate of games.

Best Bets of the Night

Game 1: Cleveland Cavaliers at Atlanta Hawks (-1.5)

While Cleveland continues to be one of the surprising success stories of this NBA regular season, the Atlanta Hawks have lost five of their seven games played n February. The Cavaliers have been relatively strong playing away this season. They have a 17-13 record on the road this season. The Hawks are also starting to play better. Guys like Bojan Bogdanovic are starting to return to form while Clint Capela is back in the lineup and finally providing the Hawks with some much-needed size in the paint. The Hawks are the ninth highest-scoring team in the NBA this season, producing 111.7 PPG. However, the Cavaliers are ranked 23rd in the league in points produced each game. I think this game will be grounded in its defense. The Hawks have a good chance of defending the home floor tonight, especially because of how much they score each night. The Cavs and the Hawks should combine for less than 221 points tonight, which is a high point total especially because the Cavs are one of the lowest-scoring teams in the NBA.

Bet: Under 221 Points (-110)

Game 2: Dallas Mavericks at Miami Heat (-4.5)

Miami should comfortably defend the home court tonight from Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks. Miami has won their last five games in a row. The Heat is one of the teams in the NBA with the best home records. They’ve gone 19-6 at the FTX Arena this season. The Mavericks are also a very good team at home, but they are more challenged on the road. Dallas has an even road record of 13-13 this season. The Heat should win this game comfortably, especially because the Mavericks are still getting their trade acquisitions such as Spencer Dinwiddie acclimated with the team. Although the Mavericks (25th) and the Heat (16th) are two teams that score below the league average of points per game, I expect the Heat to score close to 115-120 points tonight. This means that if Dallas only scores 90-95 points, the total should exceed 209.5 points.

Bet 1: Miami Heat - 4.5 (-110)

Bet 2: Over 209.5 Points (-110)

Game 3: Memphis Grizzlies at New Orleans Pelicans (+4.5)

This game should be an easy win for the Memphis Grizzlies. Although the Pelicans are playing at home, they are 11 games below .500. The 40-18 Grizzlies, led by superstar Ja Morant, are on fire with no signs of slowing down. They have won eight of their last 10 games, five of which were road victories. The Grizzlies are as good on the road as they are at home. They’ve won and lost exactly the same number of games at home as they have on the road with twin records of 20-9. Memphis is the NBA team that covers most of its bets (67.2 %). New Orleans is also in a transitional phase after the blockbuster deal which landed them C.J. McCollum. The Grizzlies should win this game by at least 10 points while the Pelicans continue to build chemistry with their new rotation.

Bet: Memphis -4.5 (-110)

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Same Game Parlay of The Night

Game: Boston Celtics at Philadelphia 76ers (7:30 EST, TNT)

Leg 1: Danny Green, Under 6.5 Points

Danny Green has failed to score more than eight points in the last seven games. This season, he’s scoring 6.6 PPG on only 40.7% shooting from the field. He’s also only playing less than 24 minutes per contest coming off of the bench for the Philadelphia 76ers. He’s also very immobile on the court, mostly standing behind the three-point line giving ball-handlers little reason to pass him the ball. He hasn’t scored more than six points in his last four contests and won’t tonight against the Boston Celtics.

Leg 2: Tyrese Maxey, Over 16.5 Points

Maxey has been the 76er's best option at point guard all season, and as a result, is playing more than 35 minutes per contest. He’s also being very efficient on the floor offensively. Over his last ten games, he’s averaged 18.0 PPG (Up one PPG from his season average of 17.0 PPG). He’s shooting a very impressive 47.5% from the field this season and will need to have a big night scoring against the red-hot Boston Celtics. He certainly has more of an advantage than many guards Marcus Smart defends against.

Leg 3: Tobias Harris, Over 1.5 Three-pointers Made

Harris has been struggling as of late to score enough points as he should. He’s had multiple games below 15 points as of late and has failed to cover his over in points multiple times. As a result, we should steer clear of that and focus on him scoring at least two three-pointers tonight. If he scores 11 or 12 points which would be very low for him, there is still a good chance that six of those points come from shots taken beyond the arc.

Leg 4: Tyrese Maxey, Over 3.5 Rebounds

I’ve taken this prop multiple times, and it has hit every single time I can remember. My thoughts about Tyrese Maxey grabbing at least four or five rebounds each game are because of how many minutes he plays and how athletic he is. He is averaging a whopping 35.6 MPG this season. Over his last ten games, he’s averaged 4.2 rebounds per contest. As a result, I think Maxey hits the over in rebounds again tonight.

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