I knew it was going to happen.
Not only did I fly in the face of the gambling gods and decide to comment on my little bit of good luck, I broke another cardinal rule of betting: Never put money on something just to put money on it.
▪️ 18/23, 233 yards passing, 0 INT ▪️ 51 yards on 10 rushes, 2 touchdowns Not bad for a QB/RB/WR/TE/KR/PR...… https://t.co/D3O0rWXR3j— New Orleans Saints (@New Orleans Saints)1606079749.0
Look, I couldn't resist trying to get in on some of that Taysom Hill magic. I missed on him in my fantasy leagues, and I couldn't stop myself at just taking the Saints, which did hit by the way(!), I was forced to pick an over/under on the most unknowable of the world's mysteries. Was it possible for Taysom to throw a good ball? Turns out, yes. Turns out, he can get a little more oomph on his throws, which opened up things downfield, even if they weren't always right on the money. Lessons… Noted.
For the game that sent a chill down my spine, the Dolphins lost to the Broncos. If I actually designated a "Lock of the Week," this would've been the "Lock of Lifetime." Tua had been hot, the Miami D had been stout, and the Broncos had been a state of utter disrepair. Just when you think you know football, quoting stats and pulling from trends, it absolutely humbles you into the ground.
As for the Browns covering over the Eagles that was a little bit like betting on paint drying. It was never really in doubt and it wasn't particularly interesting.
Arizona -1.5 over New England
This game has gotten a little bit tighter with each passing day, due to uncertainty regarding the availability of Kyler Murray. I'm betting on this with the assumption that he'll be starting and operating at, hopefully, 80% capacity. The Patriots couldn't handle the dynamic Deshaun Watson a week ago, and I can't imagine things will get any easier against an offense currently firing on all cylinders. The Patriots haven't been "doing their job" recently and rank 21st in rushing yards per game and 28th in DVOA. In a seemingly impossible turn of events, their pass D is actually worse. Meanwhile, the Cardinals can flat out pound the rock. They lead the league in rushing touchdowns, rank second in rushing yards, and average the most yards per carry. Throw in some Vance Joseph defensive wizardry to confuse and bamboozle the undermanned Pats offense and I think 1.5 points is a gimme.
Kansas City -3 over Tampa Bay
I'm back to beating the Tompa Brady Bucs being, ahhhhh, not so good. As the season has worn on, there losses look bad, and their wins look worse. They've managed to beat up on some weaker teams in the league, Packers excepted, and only squeak by middle-of-the-packers like the Chargers and Giants. Against the Rams, Tom looked more his age, and missed on multiple deep throws that could've completely shifted momentum. I could go on and go about how Antonio Brown looks completely lost out there, or how their running game leaves plenty to be desired, or how Mike Evans and Chris Godwin haven't received their share of downfield targets, but really this is still all about Patrick Mahomes. The man who got the ball back with 1:43 against the Raiders, and there wasn't a second of doubt he would take his offense in for a score. It was as if the win was bestowed by a King. While the two high profile QBs prepare to square off for what is almost undoubtedly their last time, the fourth will assuredly cement Mahomes as the true heir to Brady's GOAT throne.
Seattle -5 over Philadelphia
The Seahawks have been a little shakier than we thought they were a month ago, having a bottom of the barrel pass D in a pass happy league will do that for you. Luckily, the Eagles don't have much of a pass offense to speak of with Carson Wentz taking the dreaded step back. Seattle hasn't generated much pressure all year, but the Eagles will be down All-Pro tackle Lane Johnson and his rookie backup Jack Driscoll might be unavailable, too. There's been a total lack of consistency along the line before this news broke, anyways. That's the kind of thing that absolutely helps a defensive line trying to establish their presence.
Kareem Hunt over 1.5 Receptions
Kareem Hunt with the best 9-yard catch you'll see all day https://t.co/uX51xVwMSK— RotoGrinders (@RotoGrinders)1601235935.0
Hunt has only gone under this number once all season, just last week against the Eagles. Other than he's been a tremendous asset to the Browns through the air, including four touchdowns and a few jaw dropping grabs for anyone, let alone a running back. Meanwhile, the Jaguars are on pace to have the statistically worst defense in team history. As the Browns continue to operate a strong and complimentary backfield, I think it's safe to assume this one could be wrapped up by half time.
As the NFL postseason got underway last week, it became clear we need to make some halftime adjustments with our picks this week.
The Ravens were an easy cover for us, especially once Lamer found his groove and the grooves in Tennessee's D. Throw in a few head scratching punts by Mike Vrabel and that does the trick.
Meanwhile, Stefon Diggs came up two catches short for us with three targets left on the table. It was always going to be tough to get that many grabs, but it was worth a few bucks just to see what would happen.
Please, please, please remind me never to bet unders. I haven't hit one all year and yet the siren's song calls me to shore. I maintain this is the best one I bet all year. The pick 6 and DK Metcalf bomb in the second quarter killed after the best start imaginable. After 15 minutes, we had a combined score of 3, 15 minutes of game time later? 30. Bananas.
Then I don't really know what else to say about Pittsburgh losing to Baker Mayfield and co. that hasn't already been said. I just have to edit my list of completely impossible things to put, "Snowing in the Sahara desert," and "Taylor Swift ever getting back together with Jake Gyllenhaal" above "The Browns beating the Steelers in the playoffs."
Put on your general manager hat for a moment and ask yourself this question: If my team struggled mightily the past couple seasons, is struggling now and will continue to struggle, would I trade my franchise star?
It's an extremely difficult decision to make, but it's something the Washington Wizards have to be pondering with shooting guard Bradley Beal.
Beal has been on an absolute rampage through 11 games, posting a league-high 34.9 points per game on 49% shooting and 38% from distance. He's also dishing out five assists and grabbing 5.3 rebounds with 1.5 steals. All that in 36 minutes a night, yet the Wizards are 3-8 which is the third-worst record in the Eastern Conference.
"I'm pissed off," Beal told reporters after his 60-point game on Jan. 6. "I'm mad. I don't count [them]. ... Any of my career-highs, they've been in losses. So I don't give a damn. You can throw it right out the window with the other two or three I've had."
His frustration is evident, and though he hasn't verbalized that he wants out of D.C., it's hard not to think that the idea hasn't crossed his mind at least once with how bad the Wizards have been recently.
From 2018-20, they went a combined 57-97 with John Wall sidelined after he tore his Achilles. Before this season began, the Wizards acquired Russell Westbrook in exchange for Wall and a pick, thinking they were getting an upgrade at point guard. Plot twist, they weren't.
Wall is healthy and playing good basketball in Houston while Westbrook is sitting back-to-backs and is currently nursing a quad injury. More importantly, he doesn't make them much better because of his lack of defense and is thus piling up meaningless triple-doubles that don't translate to team success.
Each Friday, FindBet will preview the week's DFS slate, highlighting players that are priced well on DFS sites, as well as some contrarian plays that can push your team to the top of the leader board.
Most NFL DFS games have you putting a team together with players from a certain slate of games. It could be just Sunday 1:00 PM games, or it could be every game that is slated for the week. Once the last game that has eligible players is over, the final payouts are made according to how many fantasy points each team scored. Each player is worth a certain dollar amount, and you have a cap of $60,000 to build your team with. You have to have 1 QB, 2 RB, 3 WR, 1 TE, 1 FLEX (RB, WR, or TE) and 1 DEF.
The general scoring rules include (6) points for each rushing and receiving touchdown, (4) points for each passing touchdown, (0.1) points for each rushing and receiving yard gained, (0.04) points for each passing yard, and also (0.5) points for each reception. There are other scoring opportunities for defenses. Let's take a look at players we like in the first round of the NFL playoffs this weekend.